The closely contested FL-25 Democratic primary on August 18 features incumbent Jared Moskowitz facing progressive challenger Oliver Larkin in a newly drawn South Florida district. Recent polling shows a statistical tie after earlier surveys had Moskowitz ahead by double digits, driven by Larkin's gains among undecided voters and those yet to cast ballots alongside Moskowitz's strength in early voting. Key dynamics include ideological contrasts between Moskowitz's centrist record and Larkin's democratic socialist platform on issues like affordability and Medicare for All, plus substantial outside spending and roughly 20% undecided voters. This environment sustains uncertainty over final margins, with late campaign events, turnout patterns, and voter mobilization likely to determine separation in the final days.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМосковиц 25%+ 49%
Московиц 15–20% 33%
Ларкин 10–15% 29%
Московиц 10–15% 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 авг. 2026 г.
Московиц 25%+
49%
Московиц 20–25%
38%
Московиц 15–20%
33%
Московиц 10–15%
28%
Московиц 5–10%
26%
Московиц <5%
21%
Ларкин <5%
28%
Ларкин 5–10%
22%
Ларкин 10–15%
29%
Ларкин 15–20%
11%
Ларкин 20–25%
20%
Ларкин 25%+
-
Московиц 25%+ 49%
Московиц 15–20% 33%
Ларкин 10–15% 29%
Московиц 10–15% 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 авг. 2026 г.
Московиц 25%+
$76 Объем
49%
Московиц 20–25%
$58 Объем
38%
Московиц 15–20%
$31 Объем
33%
Московиц 10–15%
$31 Объем
28%
Московиц 5–10%
$15 Объем
26%
Московиц <5%
$31 Объем
21%
Ларкин <5%
$31 Объем
28%
Ларкин 5–10%
$31 Объем
22%
Ларкин 10–15%
$31 Объем
29%
Ларкин 15–20%
$53 Объем
11%
Ларкин 20–25%
$31 Объем
20%
Ларкин 25%+
$119 Объем
-
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The closely contested FL-25 Democratic primary on August 18 features incumbent Jared Moskowitz facing progressive challenger Oliver Larkin in a newly drawn South Florida district. Recent polling shows a statistical tie after earlier surveys had Moskowitz ahead by double digits, driven by Larkin's gains among undecided voters and those yet to cast ballots alongside Moskowitz's strength in early voting. Key dynamics include ideological contrasts between Moskowitz's centrist record and Larkin's democratic socialist platform on issues like affordability and Medicare for All, plus substantial outside spending and roughly 20% undecided voters. This environment sustains uncertainty over final margins, with late campaign events, turnout patterns, and voter mobilization likely to determine separation in the final days.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Объем
$541Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The closely contested FL-25 Democratic primary on August 18 features incumbent Jared Moskowitz facing progressive challenger Oliver Larkin in a newly drawn South Florida district. Recent polling shows a statistical tie after earlier surveys had Moskowitz ahead by double digits, driven by Larkin's gains among undecided voters and those yet to cast ballots alongside Moskowitz's strength in early voting. Key dynamics include ideological contrasts between Moskowitz's centrist record and Larkin's democratic socialist platform on issues like affordability and Medicare for All, plus substantial outside spending and roughly 20% undecided voters. This environment sustains uncertainty over final margins, with late campaign events, turnout patterns, and voter mobilization likely to determine separation in the final days.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$541Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested FL-25 Democratic primary on August 18 features incumbent Jared Moskowitz facing progressive challenger Oliver Larkin in a newly drawn South Florida district. Recent polling shows a statistical tie after earlier surveys had Moskowitz ahead by double digits, driven by Larkin's gains among undecided voters and those yet to cast ballots alongside Moskowitz's strength in early voting. Key dynamics include ideological contrasts between Moskowitz's centrist record and Larkin's democratic socialist platform on issues like affordability and Medicare for All, plus substantial outside spending and roughly 20% undecided voters. This environment sustains uncertainty over final margins, with late campaign events, turnout patterns, and voter mobilization likely to determine separation in the final days.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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