Florida's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 85.5% implied probability. Incumbent John Rutherford faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election, while Democratic contenders compete in a low-profile primary for a seat rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. Recent redistricting preserved the district's partisan composition, limiting Democratic opportunities in this Jacksonville-area constituency. No major campaign developments or polling shifts have altered the positioning in recent weeks, consistent with historical patterns for similar districts where incumbency and voter registration advantages sustain high probabilities for the majority party.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-05
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-05
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
86%
Демократическая партия
15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$5,738 Объем
86%
Демократическая партия
$2,718 Объем
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 85.5% implied probability. Incumbent John Rutherford faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election, while Democratic contenders compete in a low-profile primary for a seat rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. Recent redistricting preserved the district's partisan composition, limiting Democratic opportunities in this Jacksonville-area constituency. No major campaign developments or polling shifts have altered the positioning in recent weeks, consistent with historical patterns for similar districts where incumbency and voter registration advantages sustain high probabilities for the majority party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Объем
$8,456Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 85.5% implied probability. Incumbent John Rutherford faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election, while Democratic contenders compete in a low-profile primary for a seat rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. Recent redistricting preserved the district's partisan composition, limiting Democratic opportunities in this Jacksonville-area constituency. No major campaign developments or polling shifts have altered the positioning in recent weeks, consistent with historical patterns for similar districts where incumbency and voter registration advantages sustain high probabilities for the majority party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$8,456Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 85.5% implied probability. Incumbent John Rutherford faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election, while Democratic contenders compete in a low-profile primary for a seat rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. Recent redistricting preserved the district's partisan composition, limiting Democratic opportunities in this Jacksonville-area constituency. No major campaign developments or polling shifts have altered the positioning in recent weeks, consistent with historical patterns for similar districts where incumbency and voter registration advantages sustain high probabilities for the majority party.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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