Minnesota's 5th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30 and consistent general election margins above 70 percent for the incumbent. Incumbent Representative Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor nomination path after forgoing a Senate bid, bolstered by substantial fundraising totals exceeding $5 million and recent endorsements. Multiple Republican primary candidates are competing ahead of the August 11 contest, yet the district's voter composition in Minneapolis and surrounding Hennepin County suburbs limits their general election viability on November 3. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though a late primary surprise or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the general ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-05
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-05
$40,820 Объем
$40,820 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
4%
$40,820 Объем
$40,820 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$16,817 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$24,002 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30 and consistent general election margins above 70 percent for the incumbent. Incumbent Representative Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor nomination path after forgoing a Senate bid, bolstered by substantial fundraising totals exceeding $5 million and recent endorsements. Multiple Republican primary candidates are competing ahead of the August 11 contest, yet the district's voter composition in Minneapolis and surrounding Hennepin County suburbs limits their general election viability on November 3. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though a late primary surprise or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the general ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$40,820Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30 and consistent general election margins above 70 percent for the incumbent. Incumbent Representative Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor nomination path after forgoing a Senate bid, bolstered by substantial fundraising totals exceeding $5 million and recent endorsements. Multiple Republican primary candidates are competing ahead of the August 11 contest, yet the district's voter composition in Minneapolis and surrounding Hennepin County suburbs limits their general election viability on November 3. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though a late primary surprise or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the general ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$40,820Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30 and consistent general election margins above 70 percent for the incumbent. Incumbent Representative Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor nomination path after forgoing a Senate bid, bolstered by substantial fundraising totals exceeding $5 million and recent endorsements. Multiple Republican primary candidates are competing ahead of the August 11 contest, yet the district's voter composition in Minneapolis and surrounding Hennepin County suburbs limits their general election viability on November 3. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though a late primary surprise or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the general ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы