Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+32 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar, who captured 74 percent in the 2024 general election, is seeking reelection and holds substantial fundraising and institutional support ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary against several challengers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that heavily favors the Democratic nominee in November. Republicans, including primary candidates such as Dalia al-Aqidi, confront structural headwinds in a Minneapolis-centered district. An unexpected Democratic primary outcome or sharp national shifts in turnout or voter sentiment before November 3 could introduce limited volatility, though historical patterns indicate narrow pathways for change.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-05
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-05
$41,011 Объем
$41,011 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
3%
$41,011 Объем
$41,011 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$17,009 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$24,002 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+32 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar, who captured 74 percent in the 2024 general election, is seeking reelection and holds substantial fundraising and institutional support ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary against several challengers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that heavily favors the Democratic nominee in November. Republicans, including primary candidates such as Dalia al-Aqidi, confront structural headwinds in a Minneapolis-centered district. An unexpected Democratic primary outcome or sharp national shifts in turnout or voter sentiment before November 3 could introduce limited volatility, though historical patterns indicate narrow pathways for change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$41,011Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+32 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar, who captured 74 percent in the 2024 general election, is seeking reelection and holds substantial fundraising and institutional support ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary against several challengers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that heavily favors the Democratic nominee in November. Republicans, including primary candidates such as Dalia al-Aqidi, confront structural headwinds in a Minneapolis-centered district. An unexpected Democratic primary outcome or sharp national shifts in turnout or voter sentiment before November 3 could introduce limited volatility, though historical patterns indicate narrow pathways for change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$41,011Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+32 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar, who captured 74 percent in the 2024 general election, is seeking reelection and holds substantial fundraising and institutional support ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary against several challengers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that heavily favors the Democratic nominee in November. Republicans, including primary candidates such as Dalia al-Aqidi, confront structural headwinds in a Minneapolis-centered district. An unexpected Democratic primary outcome or sharp national shifts in turnout or voter sentiment before November 3 could introduce limited volatility, though historical patterns indicate narrow pathways for change.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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