Maryland’s 5th congressional district remains a structurally Democratic seat, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent voting patterns that have favored the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s retirement opened the seat and triggered a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, yet the general-election outcome stays heavily tilted toward the eventual Democratic nominee because registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two-to-one. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the district as Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican primary field is limited and lacks the resources or voter base to mount a competitive challenge. Only an unforeseen development, such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an unusual turnout surge, could realistically alter the current trader consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMD-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MD-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$15,971 Объем
$15,971 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
27%
$15,971 Объем
$15,971 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$8,538 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$7,433 Объем
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district remains a structurally Democratic seat, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent voting patterns that have favored the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s retirement opened the seat and triggered a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, yet the general-election outcome stays heavily tilted toward the eventual Democratic nominee because registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two-to-one. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the district as Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican primary field is limited and lacks the resources or voter base to mount a competitive challenge. Only an unforeseen development, such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an unusual turnout surge, could realistically alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$15,971Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district remains a structurally Democratic seat, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent voting patterns that have favored the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s retirement opened the seat and triggered a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, yet the general-election outcome stays heavily tilted toward the eventual Democratic nominee because registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two-to-one. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the district as Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican primary field is limited and lacks the resources or voter base to mount a competitive challenge. Only an unforeseen development, such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an unusual turnout surge, could realistically alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$15,971Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 5th congressional district remains a structurally Democratic seat, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent voting patterns that have favored the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s retirement opened the seat and triggered a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, yet the general-election outcome stays heavily tilted toward the eventual Democratic nominee because registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two-to-one. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the district as Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican primary field is limited and lacks the resources or voter base to mount a competitive challenge. Only an unforeseen development, such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an unusual turnout surge, could realistically alter the current trader consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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