Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland’s 5th Congressional District in a crowded June 2026 primary, benefiting from endorsements by retiring Representative Steny Hoyer and Governor Wes Moore alongside substantial outside spending from pro-Israel and cryptocurrency-aligned groups. The open seat in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean, where recent presidential voting favored Democrats by wide margins, has produced trader consensus around Boafo’s general-election prospects against Republican nominee Chris Chaffee. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though the district’s voter registration and historical results limit realistic paths for the challenger.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMD-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MD-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$18,216 Объем
$18,216 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Адриан Боафо (Д)
95%
Крис Чаффи (Р)
3%
$18,216 Объем
$18,216 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Адриан Боафо (Д)
$8,754 Объем
95%
Крис Чаффи (Р)
$9,462 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland’s 5th Congressional District in a crowded June 2026 primary, benefiting from endorsements by retiring Representative Steny Hoyer and Governor Wes Moore alongside substantial outside spending from pro-Israel and cryptocurrency-aligned groups. The open seat in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean, where recent presidential voting favored Democrats by wide margins, has produced trader consensus around Boafo’s general-election prospects against Republican nominee Chris Chaffee. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though the district’s voter registration and historical results limit realistic paths for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$18,216Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland’s 5th Congressional District in a crowded June 2026 primary, benefiting from endorsements by retiring Representative Steny Hoyer and Governor Wes Moore alongside substantial outside spending from pro-Israel and cryptocurrency-aligned groups. The open seat in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean, where recent presidential voting favored Democrats by wide margins, has produced trader consensus around Boafo’s general-election prospects against Republican nominee Chris Chaffee. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though the district’s voter registration and historical results limit realistic paths for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$18,216Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland’s 5th Congressional District in a crowded June 2026 primary, benefiting from endorsements by retiring Representative Steny Hoyer and Governor Wes Moore alongside substantial outside spending from pro-Israel and cryptocurrency-aligned groups. The open seat in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean, where recent presidential voting favored Democrats by wide margins, has produced trader consensus around Boafo’s general-election prospects against Republican nominee Chris Chaffee. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though the district’s voter registration and historical results limit realistic paths for the challenger.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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