Maryland’s 5th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat following longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s decision not to seek reelection. The district’s partisan composition, voter registration advantage, and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles underpin the 94% implied probability for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. A crowded Democratic primary on June 23 features multiple established candidates, yet the nominee will face only modest Republican opposition in a general election where turnout patterns and historical voting data strongly favor Democrats. Realistic paths for a Republican victory remain narrow and would require an unusually large national swing or unforeseen developments specific to the eventual nominees.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMD-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MD-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$15,973 Объем
$15,973 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
11%
$15,973 Объем
$15,973 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$8,538 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$7,436 Объем
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat following longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s decision not to seek reelection. The district’s partisan composition, voter registration advantage, and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles underpin the 94% implied probability for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. A crowded Democratic primary on June 23 features multiple established candidates, yet the nominee will face only modest Republican opposition in a general election where turnout patterns and historical voting data strongly favor Democrats. Realistic paths for a Republican victory remain narrow and would require an unusually large national swing or unforeseen developments specific to the eventual nominees.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$15,973Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat following longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s decision not to seek reelection. The district’s partisan composition, voter registration advantage, and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles underpin the 94% implied probability for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. A crowded Democratic primary on June 23 features multiple established candidates, yet the nominee will face only modest Republican opposition in a general election where turnout patterns and historical voting data strongly favor Democrats. Realistic paths for a Republican victory remain narrow and would require an unusually large national swing or unforeseen developments specific to the eventual nominees.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$15,973Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 5th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat following longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s decision not to seek reelection. The district’s partisan composition, voter registration advantage, and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles underpin the 94% implied probability for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. A crowded Democratic primary on June 23 features multiple established candidates, yet the nominee will face only modest Republican opposition in a general election where turnout patterns and historical voting data strongly favor Democrats. Realistic paths for a Republican victory remain narrow and would require an unusually large national swing or unforeseen developments specific to the eventual nominees.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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