Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by its R+17 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Tom Cole, first elected in 2002, holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million in cash on hand and faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the June 16 contest. The district's voter base in southern Oklahoma, including Lawton and parts of the Oklahoma City metro, has delivered reliable Republican victories exceeding 65 percent in 2024. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these structural advantages and limited Democratic infrastructure. An upset would require an unforeseen scandal, national political realignment, or primary surprise strong enough to weaken the nominee before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOK-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
OK-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$22,501 Объем
$22,501 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
6%
$22,501 Объем
$22,501 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$14,337 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$8,164 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by its R+17 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Tom Cole, first elected in 2002, holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million in cash on hand and faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the June 16 contest. The district's voter base in southern Oklahoma, including Lawton and parts of the Oklahoma City metro, has delivered reliable Republican victories exceeding 65 percent in 2024. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these structural advantages and limited Democratic infrastructure. An upset would require an unforeseen scandal, national political realignment, or primary surprise strong enough to weaken the nominee before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$22,501Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by its R+17 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Tom Cole, first elected in 2002, holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million in cash on hand and faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the June 16 contest. The district's voter base in southern Oklahoma, including Lawton and parts of the Oklahoma City metro, has delivered reliable Republican victories exceeding 65 percent in 2024. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these structural advantages and limited Democratic infrastructure. An upset would require an unforeseen scandal, national political realignment, or primary surprise strong enough to weaken the nominee before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$22,501Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by its R+17 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Tom Cole, first elected in 2002, holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million in cash on hand and faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the June 16 contest. The district's voter base in southern Oklahoma, including Lawton and parts of the Oklahoma City metro, has delivered reliable Republican victories exceeding 65 percent in 2024. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these structural advantages and limited Democratic infrastructure. An upset would require an unforeseen scandal, national political realignment, or primary surprise strong enough to weaken the nominee before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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