Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Tom Cole, first elected in 2002 and re-elected with over 65% in 2024, holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million, reinforcing the party's commanding position ahead of the June 16 primaries and November general election. Limited Democratic fundraising and candidate recruitment further support trader consensus on a Republican hold. A significant scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or dramatic national midterm shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current structural barriers make such changes unlikely before November 3, 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOK-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
OK-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$22,501 Объем
$22,501 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
5%
$22,501 Объем
$22,501 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$14,337 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$8,164 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Tom Cole, first elected in 2002 and re-elected with over 65% in 2024, holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million, reinforcing the party's commanding position ahead of the June 16 primaries and November general election. Limited Democratic fundraising and candidate recruitment further support trader consensus on a Republican hold. A significant scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or dramatic national midterm shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current structural barriers make such changes unlikely before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$22,501Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Tom Cole, first elected in 2002 and re-elected with over 65% in 2024, holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million, reinforcing the party's commanding position ahead of the June 16 primaries and November general election. Limited Democratic fundraising and candidate recruitment further support trader consensus on a Republican hold. A significant scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or dramatic national midterm shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current structural barriers make such changes unlikely before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$22,501Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Tom Cole, first elected in 2002 and re-elected with over 65% in 2024, holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million, reinforcing the party's commanding position ahead of the June 16 primaries and November general election. Limited Democratic fundraising and candidate recruitment further support trader consensus on a Republican hold. A significant scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or dramatic national midterm shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current structural barriers make such changes unlikely before November 3, 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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