Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz faces Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido in the November 3, 2026, general election for Texas's 15th congressional district. Pulido's decisive March 2026 primary victory and substantial fundraising have positioned the race as competitive in a South Texas district with significant Latino voter blocs and a partisan lean that has fluctuated in recent cycles. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a modest edge, consistent with the closely matched early polling and midterm dynamics that often favor the opposition party. The absence of major new developments since primary completion leaves the outcome sensitive to turnout patterns, campaign spending, and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions.