The heavily Democratic composition of New York’s 15th congressional district, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+27, underpins the market’s strong consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with nearly 72 percent of the vote, outpacing challengers Michael Blake and Jose Vega, while nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising in this Bronx-based district further reinforce trader positioning. A competitive outcome would require an unusually strong Republican candidate, significant local scandal, or late national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s consistent partisan margins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-15
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-15
$46,119 Объем
$46,119 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
96%
Республиканская партия
2%
$46,119 Объем
$46,119 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$26,923 Объем
96%
Республиканская партия
$19,196 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of New York’s 15th congressional district, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+27, underpins the market’s strong consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with nearly 72 percent of the vote, outpacing challengers Michael Blake and Jose Vega, while nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising in this Bronx-based district further reinforce trader positioning. A competitive outcome would require an unusually strong Republican candidate, significant local scandal, or late national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s consistent partisan margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$46,119Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of New York’s 15th congressional district, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+27, underpins the market’s strong consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with nearly 72 percent of the vote, outpacing challengers Michael Blake and Jose Vega, while nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising in this Bronx-based district further reinforce trader positioning. A competitive outcome would require an unusually strong Republican candidate, significant local scandal, or late national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s consistent partisan margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$46,119Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic composition of New York’s 15th congressional district, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+27, underpins the market’s strong consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with nearly 72 percent of the vote, outpacing challengers Michael Blake and Jose Vega, while nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising in this Bronx-based district further reinforce trader positioning. A competitive outcome would require an unusually strong Republican candidate, significant local scandal, or late national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s consistent partisan margins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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