Democratic incumbent George Latimer faces Republican Joseph Cinquemani and an independent in New York’s 16th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and Latimer’s 2024 general-election margin above 70 percent establish a strong baseline for Democratic performance. Latimer advanced without a contested primary after the June 23 Democratic contest was canceled, while Republican opposition remains limited. Election forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. A shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an unusually large national partisan swing within the remaining campaign window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-16
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-16
$35,444 Объем
$35,444 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
2%
$35,444 Объем
$35,444 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$25,309 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$10,134 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent George Latimer faces Republican Joseph Cinquemani and an independent in New York’s 16th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and Latimer’s 2024 general-election margin above 70 percent establish a strong baseline for Democratic performance. Latimer advanced without a contested primary after the June 23 Democratic contest was canceled, while Republican opposition remains limited. Election forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. A shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an unusually large national partisan swing within the remaining campaign window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$35,444Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent George Latimer faces Republican Joseph Cinquemani and an independent in New York’s 16th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and Latimer’s 2024 general-election margin above 70 percent establish a strong baseline for Democratic performance. Latimer advanced without a contested primary after the June 23 Democratic contest was canceled, while Republican opposition remains limited. Election forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. A shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an unusually large national partisan swing within the remaining campaign window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$35,444Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent George Latimer faces Republican Joseph Cinquemani and an independent in New York’s 16th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and Latimer’s 2024 general-election margin above 70 percent establish a strong baseline for Democratic performance. Latimer advanced without a contested primary after the June 23 Democratic contest was canceled, while Republican opposition remains limited. Election forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. A shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an unusually large national partisan swing within the remaining campaign window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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