Ohio's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat centered on Cleveland and Cuyahoga County, where voter registration and past election margins favor the party by wide margins. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner faces limited resources and structural headwinds in the general election set for November 3. Recent redistricting preserved the district's partisan composition, unlike adjustments that increased competitiveness in nearby seats. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic hold because historical turnout patterns, fundraising gaps, and the absence of major scandals or national shifts capable of overcoming the district's baseline lean leave little realistic path for a Republican upset before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-11
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-11
$27,700 Объем
$27,700 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
96%
Республиканская партия
4%
$27,700 Объем
$27,700 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$11,838 Объем
96%
Республиканская партия
$15,862 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat centered on Cleveland and Cuyahoga County, where voter registration and past election margins favor the party by wide margins. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner faces limited resources and structural headwinds in the general election set for November 3. Recent redistricting preserved the district's partisan composition, unlike adjustments that increased competitiveness in nearby seats. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic hold because historical turnout patterns, fundraising gaps, and the absence of major scandals or national shifts capable of overcoming the district's baseline lean leave little realistic path for a Republican upset before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$27,700Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat centered on Cleveland and Cuyahoga County, where voter registration and past election margins favor the party by wide margins. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner faces limited resources and structural headwinds in the general election set for November 3. Recent redistricting preserved the district's partisan composition, unlike adjustments that increased competitiveness in nearby seats. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic hold because historical turnout patterns, fundraising gaps, and the absence of major scandals or national shifts capable of overcoming the district's baseline lean leave little realistic path for a Republican upset before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$27,700Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat centered on Cleveland and Cuyahoga County, where voter registration and past election margins favor the party by wide margins. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner faces limited resources and structural headwinds in the general election set for November 3. Recent redistricting preserved the district's partisan composition, unlike adjustments that increased competitiveness in nearby seats. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic hold because historical turnout patterns, fundraising gaps, and the absence of major scandals or national shifts capable of overcoming the district's baseline lean leave little realistic path for a Republican upset before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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