Ohio's 11th Congressional District, encompassing Cleveland and its inner suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic tilt that underpins the market's 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination in the May 5, 2026 primary with roughly 85-88% of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican Mike Kirchner emerged from a low-turnout primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with Brown's 2024 margin exceeding 78%. This positioning reflects the district's partisan composition, established voting patterns, and absence of recent developments that would alter the balance. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, unforeseen health developments, or an unusually strong national Republican performance that exceeds historical benchmarks in similar districts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-11
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-11
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$5,745 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$2,933 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th Congressional District, encompassing Cleveland and its inner suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic tilt that underpins the market's 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination in the May 5, 2026 primary with roughly 85-88% of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican Mike Kirchner emerged from a low-turnout primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with Brown's 2024 margin exceeding 78%. This positioning reflects the district's partisan composition, established voting patterns, and absence of recent developments that would alter the balance. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, unforeseen health developments, or an unusually strong national Republican performance that exceeds historical benchmarks in similar districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$8,678Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th Congressional District, encompassing Cleveland and its inner suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic tilt that underpins the market's 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination in the May 5, 2026 primary with roughly 85-88% of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican Mike Kirchner emerged from a low-turnout primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with Brown's 2024 margin exceeding 78%. This positioning reflects the district's partisan composition, established voting patterns, and absence of recent developments that would alter the balance. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, unforeseen health developments, or an unusually strong national Republican performance that exceeds historical benchmarks in similar districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$8,678Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 11th Congressional District, encompassing Cleveland and its inner suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic tilt that underpins the market's 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination in the May 5, 2026 primary with roughly 85-88% of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican Mike Kirchner emerged from a low-turnout primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with Brown's 2024 margin exceeding 78%. This positioning reflects the district's partisan composition, established voting patterns, and absence of recent developments that would alter the balance. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, unforeseen health developments, or an unusually strong national Republican performance that exceeds historical benchmarks in similar districts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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