The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei opened Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District for the November 2026 general election, prompting competitive primaries on June 9. David Flippo, endorsed by President Trump in the closing weeks, secured the Republican nomination, while former state Assembly Majority Leader Teresa Benitez-Thompson prevailed on the Democratic side amid an unusually crowded field that included self-funder Greg Kidd. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the northern Nevada seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its consistent partisan voting index, a registration advantage for Republicans exceeding 3-to-2, and the absence of a Democratic victory since the district’s creation. These structural factors and the recent primary outcomes sustain trader consensus around a Republican hold despite Democratic efforts to capitalize on the open seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNV-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NV-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$19,946 Объем
$19,946 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
72%
Демократическая партия
27%
$19,946 Объем
$19,946 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$11,420 Объем
72%
Демократическая партия
$8,527 Объем
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei opened Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District for the November 2026 general election, prompting competitive primaries on June 9. David Flippo, endorsed by President Trump in the closing weeks, secured the Republican nomination, while former state Assembly Majority Leader Teresa Benitez-Thompson prevailed on the Democratic side amid an unusually crowded field that included self-funder Greg Kidd. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the northern Nevada seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its consistent partisan voting index, a registration advantage for Republicans exceeding 3-to-2, and the absence of a Democratic victory since the district’s creation. These structural factors and the recent primary outcomes sustain trader consensus around a Republican hold despite Democratic efforts to capitalize on the open seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$19,946Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei opened Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District for the November 2026 general election, prompting competitive primaries on June 9. David Flippo, endorsed by President Trump in the closing weeks, secured the Republican nomination, while former state Assembly Majority Leader Teresa Benitez-Thompson prevailed on the Democratic side amid an unusually crowded field that included self-funder Greg Kidd. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the northern Nevada seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its consistent partisan voting index, a registration advantage for Republicans exceeding 3-to-2, and the absence of a Democratic victory since the district’s creation. These structural factors and the recent primary outcomes sustain trader consensus around a Republican hold despite Democratic efforts to capitalize on the open seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$19,946Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei opened Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District for the November 2026 general election, prompting competitive primaries on June 9. David Flippo, endorsed by President Trump in the closing weeks, secured the Republican nomination, while former state Assembly Majority Leader Teresa Benitez-Thompson prevailed on the Democratic side amid an unusually crowded field that included self-funder Greg Kidd. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the northern Nevada seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its consistent partisan voting index, a registration advantage for Republicans exceeding 3-to-2, and the absence of a Democratic victory since the district’s creation. These structural factors and the recent primary outcomes sustain trader consensus around a Republican hold despite Democratic efforts to capitalize on the open seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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