The heavily Democratic composition of Colorado's 1st Congressional District, anchored by Denver and its consistent electoral margins exceeding 50 points for Democrats in recent cycles, underpins the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic winner. Incumbent Diana DeGette's long tenure and the June 30 primary—where she faces limited opposition from Melat Kiros and Wanda James—further reinforce expectations that the nominee will advance unthreatened to the November general election against Republican Christy Peterson. Historical patterns in safe seats and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure limit upside for the 5.5% Republican outcome. A primary upset or late-cycle development affecting the Democratic nominee could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCO-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$15,871 Объем
$15,871 Объем
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$15,871 Объем
$15,871 Объем
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic composition of Colorado's 1st Congressional District, anchored by Denver and its consistent electoral margins exceeding 50 points for Democrats in recent cycles, underpins the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic winner. Incumbent Diana DeGette's long tenure and the June 30 primary—where she faces limited opposition from Melat Kiros and Wanda James—further reinforce expectations that the nominee will advance unthreatened to the November general election against Republican Christy Peterson. Historical patterns in safe seats and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure limit upside for the 5.5% Republican outcome. A primary upset or late-cycle development affecting the Democratic nominee could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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