Rick Crawford's long incumbency since 2011, combined with Arkansas's 1st District's strong Republican lean (R+23 partisan voting index), anchors trader consensus at 97.5% for the November 3, 2026, general election. The district delivered 71.7% support for the Republican presidential nominee in the prior cycle, and Crawford advanced unopposed through the canceled Republican primary while raising over $940,000 compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green's roughly $65,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unexpected national midterm shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though the district's structural and financial fundamentals have historically limited such volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAR-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
AR-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$26,845 Объем
$26,845 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Рик Кроуфорд (Р)
98%
Терри Грин (Д)
2%
$26,845 Объем
$26,845 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Рик Кроуфорд (Р)
$16,491 Объем
98%
Терри Грин (Д)
$10,354 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Crawford's long incumbency since 2011, combined with Arkansas's 1st District's strong Republican lean (R+23 partisan voting index), anchors trader consensus at 97.5% for the November 3, 2026, general election. The district delivered 71.7% support for the Republican presidential nominee in the prior cycle, and Crawford advanced unopposed through the canceled Republican primary while raising over $940,000 compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green's roughly $65,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unexpected national midterm shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though the district's structural and financial fundamentals have historically limited such volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Объем
$26,845Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Crawford's long incumbency since 2011, combined with Arkansas's 1st District's strong Republican lean (R+23 partisan voting index), anchors trader consensus at 97.5% for the November 3, 2026, general election. The district delivered 71.7% support for the Republican presidential nominee in the prior cycle, and Crawford advanced unopposed through the canceled Republican primary while raising over $940,000 compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green's roughly $65,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unexpected national midterm shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though the district's structural and financial fundamentals have historically limited such volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$26,845Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Rick Crawford's long incumbency since 2011, combined with Arkansas's 1st District's strong Republican lean (R+23 partisan voting index), anchors trader consensus at 97.5% for the November 3, 2026, general election. The district delivered 71.7% support for the Republican presidential nominee in the prior cycle, and Crawford advanced unopposed through the canceled Republican primary while raising over $940,000 compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green's roughly $65,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unexpected national midterm shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though the district's structural and financial fundamentals have historically limited such volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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