Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in the Arkansas 1st congressional district race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Primary contests for both major parties were canceled, allowing Crawford to advance unopposed while Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green secured her nomination without opposition. Crawford’s long tenure, recent role as House Intelligence Committee chair, and substantial fundraising edge reinforce trader consensus around his reelection on November 3, 2026. A late-breaking scandal, serious health event, or unprecedented national shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome in this solidly Republican seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAR-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
AR-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$26,845 Объем
$26,845 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Рик Кроуфорд (Р)
97%
Терри Грин (Д)
1%
$26,845 Объем
$26,845 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Рик Кроуфорд (Р)
$16,491 Объем
97%
Терри Грин (Д)
$10,354 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in the Arkansas 1st congressional district race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Primary contests for both major parties were canceled, allowing Crawford to advance unopposed while Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green secured her nomination without opposition. Crawford’s long tenure, recent role as House Intelligence Committee chair, and substantial fundraising edge reinforce trader consensus around his reelection on November 3, 2026. A late-breaking scandal, serious health event, or unprecedented national shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome in this solidly Republican seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Объем
$26,845Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in the Arkansas 1st congressional district race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Primary contests for both major parties were canceled, allowing Crawford to advance unopposed while Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green secured her nomination without opposition. Crawford’s long tenure, recent role as House Intelligence Committee chair, and substantial fundraising edge reinforce trader consensus around his reelection on November 3, 2026. A late-breaking scandal, serious health event, or unprecedented national shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome in this solidly Republican seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$26,845Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in the Arkansas 1st congressional district race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Primary contests for both major parties were canceled, allowing Crawford to advance unopposed while Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green secured her nomination without opposition. Crawford’s long tenure, recent role as House Intelligence Committee chair, and substantial fundraising edge reinforce trader consensus around his reelection on November 3, 2026. A late-breaking scandal, serious health event, or unprecedented national shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome in this solidly Republican seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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