Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford faces minimal opposition in Arkansas’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. Primaries for both parties were canceled after only one candidate filed in each, leaving Crawford as the Republican nominee and Terri Yarbrough Green as the Democratic challenger. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Crawford’s 73 percent share in 2024. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, combined with the incumbent’s substantial fundraising edge and absence of primary challenges, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. A major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAR-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
AR-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$18,774 Объем
$18,774 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
93%
Демократическая партия
6%
$18,774 Объем
$18,774 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$11,178 Объем
93%
Демократическая партия
$7,596 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford faces minimal opposition in Arkansas’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. Primaries for both parties were canceled after only one candidate filed in each, leaving Crawford as the Republican nominee and Terri Yarbrough Green as the Democratic challenger. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Crawford’s 73 percent share in 2024. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, combined with the incumbent’s substantial fundraising edge and absence of primary challenges, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. A major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Объем
$18,774Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford faces minimal opposition in Arkansas’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. Primaries for both parties were canceled after only one candidate filed in each, leaving Crawford as the Republican nominee and Terri Yarbrough Green as the Democratic challenger. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Crawford’s 73 percent share in 2024. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, combined with the incumbent’s substantial fundraising edge and absence of primary challenges, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. A major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$18,774Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford faces minimal opposition in Arkansas’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. Primaries for both parties were canceled after only one candidate filed in each, leaving Crawford as the Republican nominee and Terri Yarbrough Green as the Democratic challenger. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Crawford’s 73 percent share in 2024. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, combined with the incumbent’s substantial fundraising edge and absence of primary challenges, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. A major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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