Incumbent Republican French Hill holds a strong position in Arkansas’s 2nd congressional district race, backed by the seat’s Republican lean—evident in Donald Trump’s 2024 margin there—and his role as House Financial Services Committee chairman. Hill secured his party’s nomination decisively in the March 3 primary and maintains a significant fundraising and cash-on-hand advantage over Democratic challenger Chris Jones, who also won his primary comfortably. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s history of double-digit GOP victories. A mid-August Hendrix College poll showed Jones narrowly ahead among likely voters, prompting the DCCC to label the race competitive and drawing an endorsement from Kamala Harris, yet these factors have not altered the broader structural advantages favoring the incumbent ahead of the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAR-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
AR-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$14,903 Объем
$14,903 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Френч Хилл (Р)
83%
Крис Джонс (Д)
18%
$14,903 Объем
$14,903 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Френч Хилл (Р)
$4,885 Объем
83%
Крис Джонс (Д)
$10,018 Объем
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill holds a strong position in Arkansas’s 2nd congressional district race, backed by the seat’s Republican lean—evident in Donald Trump’s 2024 margin there—and his role as House Financial Services Committee chairman. Hill secured his party’s nomination decisively in the March 3 primary and maintains a significant fundraising and cash-on-hand advantage over Democratic challenger Chris Jones, who also won his primary comfortably. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s history of double-digit GOP victories. A mid-August Hendrix College poll showed Jones narrowly ahead among likely voters, prompting the DCCC to label the race competitive and drawing an endorsement from Kamala Harris, yet these factors have not altered the broader structural advantages favoring the incumbent ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Объем
$14,903Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill holds a strong position in Arkansas’s 2nd congressional district race, backed by the seat’s Republican lean—evident in Donald Trump’s 2024 margin there—and his role as House Financial Services Committee chairman. Hill secured his party’s nomination decisively in the March 3 primary and maintains a significant fundraising and cash-on-hand advantage over Democratic challenger Chris Jones, who also won his primary comfortably. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s history of double-digit GOP victories. A mid-August Hendrix College poll showed Jones narrowly ahead among likely voters, prompting the DCCC to label the race competitive and drawing an endorsement from Kamala Harris, yet these factors have not altered the broader structural advantages favoring the incumbent ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$14,903Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican French Hill holds a strong position in Arkansas’s 2nd congressional district race, backed by the seat’s Republican lean—evident in Donald Trump’s 2024 margin there—and his role as House Financial Services Committee chairman. Hill secured his party’s nomination decisively in the March 3 primary and maintains a significant fundraising and cash-on-hand advantage over Democratic challenger Chris Jones, who also won his primary comfortably. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s history of double-digit GOP victories. A mid-August Hendrix College poll showed Jones narrowly ahead among likely voters, prompting the DCCC to label the race competitive and drawing an endorsement from Kamala Harris, yet these factors have not altered the broader structural advantages favoring the incumbent ahead of the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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