Oregon’s 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat encompassing western Portland suburbs and coastal areas, where incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured renomination with roughly 87-89% in the May 2026 primary. The district’s partisan voting index of approximately D+20, combined with Bonamici’s consistent general-election margins above 65% in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Republican primary winner Barbara Kahl faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. While national midterm dynamics or unforeseen events could theoretically narrow the gap, the combination of incumbency, voter registration patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure continues to anchor expectations for the November 3, 2026, general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOR-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
OR-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$8,261 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$1,172 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat encompassing western Portland suburbs and coastal areas, where incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured renomination with roughly 87-89% in the May 2026 primary. The district’s partisan voting index of approximately D+20, combined with Bonamici’s consistent general-election margins above 65% in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Republican primary winner Barbara Kahl faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. While national midterm dynamics or unforeseen events could theoretically narrow the gap, the combination of incumbency, voter registration patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure continues to anchor expectations for the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$9,433Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat encompassing western Portland suburbs and coastal areas, where incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured renomination with roughly 87-89% in the May 2026 primary. The district’s partisan voting index of approximately D+20, combined with Bonamici’s consistent general-election margins above 65% in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Republican primary winner Barbara Kahl faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. While national midterm dynamics or unforeseen events could theoretically narrow the gap, the combination of incumbency, voter registration patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure continues to anchor expectations for the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$9,433Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon’s 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat encompassing western Portland suburbs and coastal areas, where incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured renomination with roughly 87-89% in the May 2026 primary. The district’s partisan voting index of approximately D+20, combined with Bonamici’s consistent general-election margins above 65% in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Republican primary winner Barbara Kahl faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. While national midterm dynamics or unforeseen events could theoretically narrow the gap, the combination of incumbency, voter registration patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure continues to anchor expectations for the November 3, 2026, general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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