The Missouri 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and the incumbent Republican representative's 61% margin in the prior general election. Bob Onder, first elected in 2024, faces a primary challenge but holds clear advantages heading into the August 2026 primaries and November general election. Multiple Democratic candidates have filed for the primary, yet the district's voter composition and recent election results limit their path to victory. Trader consensus on a Republican win aligns with historical patterns in similarly situated seats, though a national political shift, unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas, or unexpected primary dynamics could narrow the margin. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the key resolution date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMO-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MO-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
91%
Демократическая партия
10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$67 Объем
91%
Демократическая партия
$5,653 Объем
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Missouri 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and the incumbent Republican representative's 61% margin in the prior general election. Bob Onder, first elected in 2024, faces a primary challenge but holds clear advantages heading into the August 2026 primaries and November general election. Multiple Democratic candidates have filed for the primary, yet the district's voter composition and recent election results limit their path to victory. Trader consensus on a Republican win aligns with historical patterns in similarly situated seats, though a national political shift, unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas, or unexpected primary dynamics could narrow the margin. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the key resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$5,720Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Missouri 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and the incumbent Republican representative's 61% margin in the prior general election. Bob Onder, first elected in 2024, faces a primary challenge but holds clear advantages heading into the August 2026 primaries and November general election. Multiple Democratic candidates have filed for the primary, yet the district's voter composition and recent election results limit their path to victory. Trader consensus on a Republican win aligns with historical patterns in similarly situated seats, though a national political shift, unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas, or unexpected primary dynamics could narrow the margin. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the key resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$5,720Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Missouri 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and the incumbent Republican representative's 61% margin in the prior general election. Bob Onder, first elected in 2024, faces a primary challenge but holds clear advantages heading into the August 2026 primaries and November general election. Multiple Democratic candidates have filed for the primary, yet the district's voter composition and recent election results limit their path to victory. Trader consensus on a Republican win aligns with historical patterns in similarly situated seats, though a national political shift, unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas, or unexpected primary dynamics could narrow the margin. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the key resolution date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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