The Illinois 9th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and uninterrupted Democratic control since 1949, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory. Incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the seat, but Daniel Biss's March 17, 2026, primary win over a crowded field positions a experienced local official as nominee against Republican John Elleson. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles. A national partisan swing, major candidate scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-09
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-09
$23,266 Объем
$23,266 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$23,266 Объем
$23,266 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$16,765 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$6,502 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and uninterrupted Democratic control since 1949, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory. Incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the seat, but Daniel Biss's March 17, 2026, primary win over a crowded field positions a experienced local official as nominee against Republican John Elleson. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles. A national partisan swing, major candidate scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$23,266Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and uninterrupted Democratic control since 1949, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory. Incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the seat, but Daniel Biss's March 17, 2026, primary win over a crowded field positions a experienced local official as nominee against Republican John Elleson. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles. A national partisan swing, major candidate scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$23,266Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 9th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and uninterrupted Democratic control since 1949, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory. Incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the seat, but Daniel Biss's March 17, 2026, primary win over a crowded field positions a experienced local official as nominee against Republican John Elleson. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles. A national partisan swing, major candidate scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы