Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and his established record since 2015. The district, which includes much of western and central Michigan and carries an R+15 Partisan Voter Index, delivered Moolenaar a 65% victory in 2024. He faced no primary opposition and secured endorsements including from former President Trump, while Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose, a Marine Corps veteran who narrowly won his August 4 primary, trails significantly in fundraising. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a national partisan shift, major scandal, or health event could theoretically alter outcomes, though the current structural and financial gap leaves little room for competitive movement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-02
$53,943 Объем
$53,943 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джон Муленаар (Р)
98%
Бен Амброуз (Д)
1%
$53,943 Объем
$53,943 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джон Муленаар (Р)
$22,752 Объем
98%
Бен Амброуз (Д)
$31,190 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and his established record since 2015. The district, which includes much of western and central Michigan and carries an R+15 Partisan Voter Index, delivered Moolenaar a 65% victory in 2024. He faced no primary opposition and secured endorsements including from former President Trump, while Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose, a Marine Corps veteran who narrowly won his August 4 primary, trails significantly in fundraising. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a national partisan shift, major scandal, or health event could theoretically alter outcomes, though the current structural and financial gap leaves little room for competitive movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$53,943Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and his established record since 2015. The district, which includes much of western and central Michigan and carries an R+15 Partisan Voter Index, delivered Moolenaar a 65% victory in 2024. He faced no primary opposition and secured endorsements including from former President Trump, while Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose, a Marine Corps veteran who narrowly won his August 4 primary, trails significantly in fundraising. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a national partisan shift, major scandal, or health event could theoretically alter outcomes, though the current structural and financial gap leaves little room for competitive movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$53,943Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and his established record since 2015. The district, which includes much of western and central Michigan and carries an R+15 Partisan Voter Index, delivered Moolenaar a 65% victory in 2024. He faced no primary opposition and secured endorsements including from former President Trump, while Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose, a Marine Corps veteran who narrowly won his August 4 primary, trails significantly in fundraising. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a national partisan shift, major scandal, or health event could theoretically alter outcomes, though the current structural and financial gap leaves little room for competitive movement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы