Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, reflecting consistent Republican strength in recent presidential voting and supporting the Republican Party's 94.5% implied probability in the market. Incumbent John Moolenaar, who won 65% in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition and benefits from solid or safe ratings across nonpartisan forecasters. Democratic primary contenders remain low-profile ahead of the August 4 vote, with limited fundraising or visibility reported. This combination of structural advantage, incumbency, and weak opposition has anchored trader consensus. A major national Democratic surge, late scandal, or health event involving Moolenaar could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current district fundamentals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-02
$45,972 Объем
$45,972 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
95%
Демократическая партия
6%
$45,972 Объем
$45,972 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$21,645 Объем
95%
Демократическая партия
$24,326 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, reflecting consistent Republican strength in recent presidential voting and supporting the Republican Party's 94.5% implied probability in the market. Incumbent John Moolenaar, who won 65% in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition and benefits from solid or safe ratings across nonpartisan forecasters. Democratic primary contenders remain low-profile ahead of the August 4 vote, with limited fundraising or visibility reported. This combination of structural advantage, incumbency, and weak opposition has anchored trader consensus. A major national Democratic surge, late scandal, or health event involving Moolenaar could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$45,972Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, reflecting consistent Republican strength in recent presidential voting and supporting the Republican Party's 94.5% implied probability in the market. Incumbent John Moolenaar, who won 65% in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition and benefits from solid or safe ratings across nonpartisan forecasters. Democratic primary contenders remain low-profile ahead of the August 4 vote, with limited fundraising or visibility reported. This combination of structural advantage, incumbency, and weak opposition has anchored trader consensus. A major national Democratic surge, late scandal, or health event involving Moolenaar could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$45,972Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, reflecting consistent Republican strength in recent presidential voting and supporting the Republican Party's 94.5% implied probability in the market. Incumbent John Moolenaar, who won 65% in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition and benefits from solid or safe ratings across nonpartisan forecasters. Democratic primary contenders remain low-profile ahead of the August 4 vote, with limited fundraising or visibility reported. This combination of structural advantage, incumbency, and weak opposition has anchored trader consensus. A major national Democratic surge, late scandal, or health event involving Moolenaar could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current district fundamentals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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