Democratic incumbent Kevin Mullin advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary to face Republican Charles Hoelter in the November general election for California's 15th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in recent voting patterns and partisan registration, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic Party outcome. Mullin's prior general election margins and the district's structural characteristics have shaped trader assessments of low Republican prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or significant shift in national political conditions could still influence the race before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-15 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-15 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$116,418 Объем
$116,418 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
96%
Республиканская партия
4%
$116,418 Объем
$116,418 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$92,679 Объем
96%
Республиканская партия
$23,739 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kevin Mullin advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary to face Republican Charles Hoelter in the November general election for California's 15th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in recent voting patterns and partisan registration, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic Party outcome. Mullin's prior general election margins and the district's structural characteristics have shaped trader assessments of low Republican prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or significant shift in national political conditions could still influence the race before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Объем
$116,418Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kevin Mullin advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary to face Republican Charles Hoelter in the November general election for California's 15th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in recent voting patterns and partisan registration, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic Party outcome. Mullin's prior general election margins and the district's structural characteristics have shaped trader assessments of low Republican prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or significant shift in national political conditions could still influence the race before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$116,418Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Kevin Mullin advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary to face Republican Charles Hoelter in the November general election for California's 15th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in recent voting patterns and partisan registration, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic Party outcome. Mullin's prior general election margins and the district's structural characteristics have shaped trader assessments of low Republican prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or significant shift in national political conditions could still influence the race before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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