Mark Takano, the Democratic incumbent representing California's 39th congressional district since 2013, secured the party's nomination in the June 2, 2026, primary and faces Republican Steve Manos in the November general election. The district's partisan composition, reflected in consistent Democratic margins exceeding 10 points in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Takano's established record on local issues and the absence of notable primary opposition or late developments have reinforced expectations of continuity. Potential shifts could arise from significant national political realignments, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout variations, though the district's structural lean limits the likelihood of such outcomes altering the result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-39 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-39 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$37,298 Объем
$37,298 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$37,298 Объем
$37,298 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$26,643 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$10,655 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Takano, the Democratic incumbent representing California's 39th congressional district since 2013, secured the party's nomination in the June 2, 2026, primary and faces Republican Steve Manos in the November general election. The district's partisan composition, reflected in consistent Democratic margins exceeding 10 points in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Takano's established record on local issues and the absence of notable primary opposition or late developments have reinforced expectations of continuity. Potential shifts could arise from significant national political realignments, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout variations, though the district's structural lean limits the likelihood of such outcomes altering the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$37,298Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Takano, the Democratic incumbent representing California's 39th congressional district since 2013, secured the party's nomination in the June 2, 2026, primary and faces Republican Steve Manos in the November general election. The district's partisan composition, reflected in consistent Democratic margins exceeding 10 points in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Takano's established record on local issues and the absence of notable primary opposition or late developments have reinforced expectations of continuity. Potential shifts could arise from significant national political realignments, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout variations, though the district's structural lean limits the likelihood of such outcomes altering the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$37,298Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Takano, the Democratic incumbent representing California's 39th congressional district since 2013, secured the party's nomination in the June 2, 2026, primary and faces Republican Steve Manos in the November general election. The district's partisan composition, reflected in consistent Democratic margins exceeding 10 points in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Takano's established record on local issues and the absence of notable primary opposition or late developments have reinforced expectations of continuity. Potential shifts could arise from significant national political realignments, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout variations, though the district's structural lean limits the likelihood of such outcomes altering the result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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