The strongly Republican lean of Missouri’s 7th Congressional District, which covers southwest Missouri including Springfield and Joplin and carries an R+21 partisan voting index, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. Incumbent Eric Burlison, first elected in 2022, won his last general election with more than 71 percent of the vote and faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026 primary, while Democrat Missi Hesketh is the sole notable general-election challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. A Republican hold could still be disrupted by an unforeseen primary upset, late scandal, or health-related withdrawal, though such developments remain unlikely given the current candidate field and structural advantages.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMO-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MO-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$19,120 Объем
$19,120 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
6%
$19,120 Объем
$19,120 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$15,755 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$3,365 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strongly Republican lean of Missouri’s 7th Congressional District, which covers southwest Missouri including Springfield and Joplin and carries an R+21 partisan voting index, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. Incumbent Eric Burlison, first elected in 2022, won his last general election with more than 71 percent of the vote and faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026 primary, while Democrat Missi Hesketh is the sole notable general-election challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. A Republican hold could still be disrupted by an unforeseen primary upset, late scandal, or health-related withdrawal, though such developments remain unlikely given the current candidate field and structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$19,120Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strongly Republican lean of Missouri’s 7th Congressional District, which covers southwest Missouri including Springfield and Joplin and carries an R+21 partisan voting index, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. Incumbent Eric Burlison, first elected in 2022, won his last general election with more than 71 percent of the vote and faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026 primary, while Democrat Missi Hesketh is the sole notable general-election challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. A Republican hold could still be disrupted by an unforeseen primary upset, late scandal, or health-related withdrawal, though such developments remain unlikely given the current candidate field and structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$19,120Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strongly Republican lean of Missouri’s 7th Congressional District, which covers southwest Missouri including Springfield and Joplin and carries an R+21 partisan voting index, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. Incumbent Eric Burlison, first elected in 2022, won his last general election with more than 71 percent of the vote and faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026 primary, while Democrat Missi Hesketh is the sole notable general-election challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. A Republican hold could still be disrupted by an unforeseen primary upset, late scandal, or health-related withdrawal, though such developments remain unlikely given the current candidate field and structural advantages.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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