Vermont’s at-large House seat remains a strong Democratic hold, with trader consensus reflecting the district’s consistent partisan pattern since 1990 and the re-election bid of incumbent Becca Balint. Balint formally launched her campaign in May 2026 and faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 11 vote, while Republican contenders Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy compete in their own primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the race as Solid Democratic, consistent with Balint’s 2024 margin exceeding 30 points. Primary drivers include Vermont’s longstanding voter registration and turnout trends favoring Democrats, combined with the structural advantages of incumbency such as fundraising and name recognition. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, a pronounced national Republican surge altering turnout, or an unusually competitive independent candidacy, though none of these factors currently register in available campaign filings or district assessments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей VT-AL
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей VT-AL
$13,558 Объем
$13,558 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$13,558 Объем
$13,558 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$6,744 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$6,813 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont’s at-large House seat remains a strong Democratic hold, with trader consensus reflecting the district’s consistent partisan pattern since 1990 and the re-election bid of incumbent Becca Balint. Balint formally launched her campaign in May 2026 and faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 11 vote, while Republican contenders Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy compete in their own primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the race as Solid Democratic, consistent with Balint’s 2024 margin exceeding 30 points. Primary drivers include Vermont’s longstanding voter registration and turnout trends favoring Democrats, combined with the structural advantages of incumbency such as fundraising and name recognition. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, a pronounced national Republican surge altering turnout, or an unusually competitive independent candidacy, though none of these factors currently register in available campaign filings or district assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$13,558Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont’s at-large House seat remains a strong Democratic hold, with trader consensus reflecting the district’s consistent partisan pattern since 1990 and the re-election bid of incumbent Becca Balint. Balint formally launched her campaign in May 2026 and faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 11 vote, while Republican contenders Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy compete in their own primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the race as Solid Democratic, consistent with Balint’s 2024 margin exceeding 30 points. Primary drivers include Vermont’s longstanding voter registration and turnout trends favoring Democrats, combined with the structural advantages of incumbency such as fundraising and name recognition. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, a pronounced national Republican surge altering turnout, or an unusually competitive independent candidacy, though none of these factors currently register in available campaign filings or district assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$13,558Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vermont’s at-large House seat remains a strong Democratic hold, with trader consensus reflecting the district’s consistent partisan pattern since 1990 and the re-election bid of incumbent Becca Balint. Balint formally launched her campaign in May 2026 and faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 11 vote, while Republican contenders Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy compete in their own primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the race as Solid Democratic, consistent with Balint’s 2024 margin exceeding 30 points. Primary drivers include Vermont’s longstanding voter registration and turnout trends favoring Democrats, combined with the structural advantages of incumbency such as fundraising and name recognition. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, a pronounced national Republican surge altering turnout, or an unusually competitive independent candidacy, though none of these factors currently register in available campaign filings or district assessments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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