Virginia's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored in affluent Northern Virginia suburbs including much of Fairfax County, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18. Incumbent Democrat James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a September 2025 special election following the death of longtime Representative Gerry Connolly, winning roughly 75 percent of the vote against his Republican opponent. All major forecasters rate the 2026 race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August primary and November general election. The Republican nominee, perennial candidate Arthur Purves, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democrats have prevailed by double-digit margins in recent cycles. A late national political realignment or significant redistricting shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though current boundaries and voter patterns leave little room for a competitive contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоVA-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
VA-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$18,982 Объем
$18,982 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$18,982 Объем
$18,982 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$12,280 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$6,702 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored in affluent Northern Virginia suburbs including much of Fairfax County, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18. Incumbent Democrat James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a September 2025 special election following the death of longtime Representative Gerry Connolly, winning roughly 75 percent of the vote against his Republican opponent. All major forecasters rate the 2026 race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August primary and November general election. The Republican nominee, perennial candidate Arthur Purves, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democrats have prevailed by double-digit margins in recent cycles. A late national political realignment or significant redistricting shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though current boundaries and voter patterns leave little room for a competitive contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$18,982Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored in affluent Northern Virginia suburbs including much of Fairfax County, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18. Incumbent Democrat James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a September 2025 special election following the death of longtime Representative Gerry Connolly, winning roughly 75 percent of the vote against his Republican opponent. All major forecasters rate the 2026 race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August primary and November general election. The Republican nominee, perennial candidate Arthur Purves, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democrats have prevailed by double-digit margins in recent cycles. A late national political realignment or significant redistricting shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though current boundaries and voter patterns leave little room for a competitive contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$18,982Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored in affluent Northern Virginia suburbs including much of Fairfax County, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18. Incumbent Democrat James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a September 2025 special election following the death of longtime Representative Gerry Connolly, winning roughly 75 percent of the vote against his Republican opponent. All major forecasters rate the 2026 race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August primary and November general election. The Republican nominee, perennial candidate Arthur Purves, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democrats have prevailed by double-digit margins in recent cycles. A late national political realignment or significant redistricting shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though current boundaries and voter patterns leave little room for a competitive contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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