James Walkinshaw holds a commanding position in the Virginia 11th congressional district race due to his incumbency following a 2025 special election victory, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2.7 million raised with nearly $1 million cash on hand, and the district's consistent strong Democratic lean. Primaries for both parties were canceled, leaving minimal organized opposition, while Republican nominee Arthur Purves has raised under $11,000. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, significant health event, or unanticipated national political shift could still alter the outcome, though historical margins in the district limit such possibilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоVA-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
VA-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$28,291 Объем
$28,291 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джеймс Уокиншоу (Д)
97%
Артур Пёрвес (Р)
<1%
$28,291 Объем
$28,291 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джеймс Уокиншоу (Д)
$16,650 Объем
97%
Артур Пёрвес (Р)
$11,641 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).James Walkinshaw holds a commanding position in the Virginia 11th congressional district race due to his incumbency following a 2025 special election victory, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2.7 million raised with nearly $1 million cash on hand, and the district's consistent strong Democratic lean. Primaries for both parties were canceled, leaving minimal organized opposition, while Republican nominee Arthur Purves has raised under $11,000. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, significant health event, or unanticipated national political shift could still alter the outcome, though historical margins in the district limit such possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$28,291Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).James Walkinshaw holds a commanding position in the Virginia 11th congressional district race due to his incumbency following a 2025 special election victory, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2.7 million raised with nearly $1 million cash on hand, and the district's consistent strong Democratic lean. Primaries for both parties were canceled, leaving minimal organized opposition, while Republican nominee Arthur Purves has raised under $11,000. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, significant health event, or unanticipated national political shift could still alter the outcome, though historical margins in the district limit such possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$28,291Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...James Walkinshaw holds a commanding position in the Virginia 11th congressional district race due to his incumbency following a 2025 special election victory, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2.7 million raised with nearly $1 million cash on hand, and the district's consistent strong Democratic lean. Primaries for both parties were canceled, leaving minimal organized opposition, while Republican nominee Arthur Purves has raised under $11,000. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, significant health event, or unanticipated national political shift could still alter the outcome, though historical margins in the district limit such possibilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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