Virginia’s 11th congressional district remains a deeply Democratic seat in Northern Virginia, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.9 percent. The district’s Partisan Voter Index of D+18, consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and the 2025 special-election victory by Democrat James Walkinshaw underpin the strong positioning. Walkinshaw, former chief of staff to the late Rep. Gerry Connolly, faces only limited Republican opposition in a low-profile race ahead of the August 2026 primaries and November general election. A major national Republican wave, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late scandal could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical voting patterns make such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоVA-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
VA-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$18,982 Объем
$18,982 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$18,982 Объем
$18,982 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$12,280 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$6,702 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia’s 11th congressional district remains a deeply Democratic seat in Northern Virginia, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.9 percent. The district’s Partisan Voter Index of D+18, consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and the 2025 special-election victory by Democrat James Walkinshaw underpin the strong positioning. Walkinshaw, former chief of staff to the late Rep. Gerry Connolly, faces only limited Republican opposition in a low-profile race ahead of the August 2026 primaries and November general election. A major national Republican wave, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late scandal could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical voting patterns make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$18,982Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia’s 11th congressional district remains a deeply Democratic seat in Northern Virginia, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.9 percent. The district’s Partisan Voter Index of D+18, consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and the 2025 special-election victory by Democrat James Walkinshaw underpin the strong positioning. Walkinshaw, former chief of staff to the late Rep. Gerry Connolly, faces only limited Republican opposition in a low-profile race ahead of the August 2026 primaries and November general election. A major national Republican wave, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late scandal could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical voting patterns make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$18,982Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia’s 11th congressional district remains a deeply Democratic seat in Northern Virginia, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.9 percent. The district’s Partisan Voter Index of D+18, consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and the 2025 special-election victory by Democrat James Walkinshaw underpin the strong positioning. Walkinshaw, former chief of staff to the late Rep. Gerry Connolly, faces only limited Republican opposition in a low-profile race ahead of the August 2026 primaries and November general election. A major national Republican wave, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late scandal could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical voting patterns make such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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