The Democratic nominee holds a strong position in Virginia's 10th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's D+6 partisan voter index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Suhas Subramanyam faces limited primary opposition on August 4, while Republicans advance a contested field that includes Dave Beckwith, Julie Perry, Anthony Suttles, and Sam Wong. Recent court decisions upholding the existing congressional map after a failed mid-decade redistricting effort preserved the district's current boundaries and Democratic tilt. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 77.5% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns in this Northern Virginia seat and the absence of major shifts in the past month that would alter the competitive landscape before the primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-10
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-10
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
18%
Демократическая партия
54%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$267 Объем
18%
Демократическая партия
$313 Объем
54%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a strong position in Virginia's 10th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's D+6 partisan voter index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Suhas Subramanyam faces limited primary opposition on August 4, while Republicans advance a contested field that includes Dave Beckwith, Julie Perry, Anthony Suttles, and Sam Wong. Recent court decisions upholding the existing congressional map after a failed mid-decade redistricting effort preserved the district's current boundaries and Democratic tilt. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 77.5% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns in this Northern Virginia seat and the absence of major shifts in the past month that would alter the competitive landscape before the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Объем
$580Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a strong position in Virginia's 10th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's D+6 partisan voter index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Suhas Subramanyam faces limited primary opposition on August 4, while Republicans advance a contested field that includes Dave Beckwith, Julie Perry, Anthony Suttles, and Sam Wong. Recent court decisions upholding the existing congressional map after a failed mid-decade redistricting effort preserved the district's current boundaries and Democratic tilt. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 77.5% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns in this Northern Virginia seat and the absence of major shifts in the past month that would alter the competitive landscape before the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$580Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee holds a strong position in Virginia's 10th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's D+6 partisan voter index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Suhas Subramanyam faces limited primary opposition on August 4, while Republicans advance a contested field that includes Dave Beckwith, Julie Perry, Anthony Suttles, and Sam Wong. Recent court decisions upholding the existing congressional map after a failed mid-decade redistricting effort preserved the district's current boundaries and Democratic tilt. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 77.5% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns in this Northern Virginia seat and the absence of major shifts in the past month that would alter the competitive landscape before the primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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