Incumbent Democratic Representative Alma Adams, who has represented North Carolina's 12th district since 2014, secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79% of the vote against a challenger. She faces Republican nominee Jack Codiga in the November general election on a map redrawn in late 2025 that maintains the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index around D+24. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 95% due to consistent historical margins exceeding 50 points and limited competitive signals in fundraising or polling. A significant shift could occur only through an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or extreme national political realignment altering local turnout patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NC-12
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NC-12
$34,271 Объем
$34,271 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
6%
$34,271 Объем
$34,271 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$16,154 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$18,117 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Alma Adams, who has represented North Carolina's 12th district since 2014, secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79% of the vote against a challenger. She faces Republican nominee Jack Codiga in the November general election on a map redrawn in late 2025 that maintains the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index around D+24. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 95% due to consistent historical margins exceeding 50 points and limited competitive signals in fundraising or polling. A significant shift could occur only through an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or extreme national political realignment altering local turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$34,271Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Alma Adams, who has represented North Carolina's 12th district since 2014, secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79% of the vote against a challenger. She faces Republican nominee Jack Codiga in the November general election on a map redrawn in late 2025 that maintains the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index around D+24. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 95% due to consistent historical margins exceeding 50 points and limited competitive signals in fundraising or polling. A significant shift could occur only through an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or extreme national political realignment altering local turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$34,271Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Alma Adams, who has represented North Carolina's 12th district since 2014, secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79% of the vote against a challenger. She faces Republican nominee Jack Codiga in the November general election on a map redrawn in late 2025 that maintains the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index around D+24. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 95% due to consistent historical margins exceeding 50 points and limited competitive signals in fundraising or polling. A significant shift could occur only through an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or extreme national political realignment altering local turnout patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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