Jimmy Panetta’s incumbency in a district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 anchors the trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. California’s top-two primary on June 2, 2026, is expected to advance two Democrats or a Democrat and Republican, after which the general-election matchup will occur in a seat Democrats have held continuously since 1977 and where the incumbent secured 69% of the vote in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Democratic. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented primary upset or a dramatic national swing that overcomes the district’s structural Democratic advantage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-19 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-19 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$26,796 Объем
$26,796 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
5%
$26,796 Объем
$26,796 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$16,570 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$10,226 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jimmy Panetta’s incumbency in a district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 anchors the trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. California’s top-two primary on June 2, 2026, is expected to advance two Democrats or a Democrat and Republican, after which the general-election matchup will occur in a seat Democrats have held continuously since 1977 and where the incumbent secured 69% of the vote in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Democratic. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented primary upset or a dramatic national swing that overcomes the district’s structural Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Объем
$26,796Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jimmy Panetta’s incumbency in a district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 anchors the trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. California’s top-two primary on June 2, 2026, is expected to advance two Democrats or a Democrat and Republican, after which the general-election matchup will occur in a seat Democrats have held continuously since 1977 and where the incumbent secured 69% of the vote in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Democratic. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented primary upset or a dramatic national swing that overcomes the district’s structural Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$26,796Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jimmy Panetta’s incumbency in a district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 anchors the trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. California’s top-two primary on June 2, 2026, is expected to advance two Democrats or a Democrat and Republican, after which the general-election matchup will occur in a seat Democrats have held continuously since 1977 and where the incumbent secured 69% of the vote in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Democratic. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented primary upset or a dramatic national swing that overcomes the district’s structural Democratic advantage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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