Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary alongside Republican Shane Lewis in California's 18th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters with a partisan voting index exceeding D+16. Lofgren captured over half the primary vote in the district spanning parts of Santa Clara, Monterey, San Benito, and Santa Cruz counties, building on her 2024 general election margin of nearly 30 points. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles and absence of competitive Republican challengers underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds. A shift would require an unprecedented reversal in voter turnout or national political dynamics not evident in recent polling or fundraising patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-18 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-18 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$35,239 Объем
$35,239 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
4%
$35,239 Объем
$35,239 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$16,690 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$18,548 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary alongside Republican Shane Lewis in California's 18th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters with a partisan voting index exceeding D+16. Lofgren captured over half the primary vote in the district spanning parts of Santa Clara, Monterey, San Benito, and Santa Cruz counties, building on her 2024 general election margin of nearly 30 points. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles and absence of competitive Republican challengers underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds. A shift would require an unprecedented reversal in voter turnout or national political dynamics not evident in recent polling or fundraising patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Объем
$35,239Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary alongside Republican Shane Lewis in California's 18th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters with a partisan voting index exceeding D+16. Lofgren captured over half the primary vote in the district spanning parts of Santa Clara, Monterey, San Benito, and Santa Cruz counties, building on her 2024 general election margin of nearly 30 points. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles and absence of competitive Republican challengers underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds. A shift would require an unprecedented reversal in voter turnout or national political dynamics not evident in recent polling or fundraising patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$35,239Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary alongside Republican Shane Lewis in California's 18th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters with a partisan voting index exceeding D+16. Lofgren captured over half the primary vote in the district spanning parts of Santa Clara, Monterey, San Benito, and Santa Cruz counties, building on her 2024 general election margin of nearly 30 points. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles and absence of competitive Republican challengers underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds. A shift would require an unprecedented reversal in voter turnout or national political dynamics not evident in recent polling or fundraising patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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