U.S. officials have maintained a consistent position against deploying American ground forces into Gaza, with CENTCOM and the Trump administration explicitly ruling out such plans since late 2025. Instead, the U.S.-backed Board of Peace and 20-point framework emphasize a multinational International Stabilization Force drawn from countries including Morocco, Kosovo, and Albania, with U.S. personnel limited to coordination and support roles based in Israel. Recent months have featured incremental progress on Hamas disarmament talks and reconstruction contracts, alongside periodic Israeli operations, but no policy reversal or events indicating imminent U.S. troop entry. This official stance and reliance on allied contributions underpin the strong trader consensus against deployment before the end of 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСилы США в Газе до 2027 года?
Силы США в Газе до 2027 года?
Да
11% вероятность
$185,789 Объем
$185,789 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
11% вероятность
$185,789 Объем
$185,789 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. officials have maintained a consistent position against deploying American ground forces into Gaza, with CENTCOM and the Trump administration explicitly ruling out such plans since late 2025. Instead, the U.S.-backed Board of Peace and 20-point framework emphasize a multinational International Stabilization Force drawn from countries including Morocco, Kosovo, and Albania, with U.S. personnel limited to coordination and support roles based in Israel. Recent months have featured incremental progress on Hamas disarmament talks and reconstruction contracts, alongside periodic Israeli operations, but no policy reversal or events indicating imminent U.S. troop entry. This official stance and reliance on allied contributions underpin the strong trader consensus against deployment before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
Объем
$185,789Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. officials have maintained a consistent position against deploying American ground forces into Gaza, with CENTCOM and the Trump administration explicitly ruling out such plans since late 2025. Instead, the U.S.-backed Board of Peace and 20-point framework emphasize a multinational International Stabilization Force drawn from countries including Morocco, Kosovo, and Albania, with U.S. personnel limited to coordination and support roles based in Israel. Recent months have featured incremental progress on Hamas disarmament talks and reconstruction contracts, alongside periodic Israeli operations, but no policy reversal or events indicating imminent U.S. troop entry. This official stance and reliance on allied contributions underpin the strong trader consensus against deployment before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$185,789Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. officials have maintained a consistent position against deploying American ground forces into Gaza, with CENTCOM and the Trump administration explicitly ruling out such plans since late 2025. Instead, the U.S.-backed Board of Peace and 20-point framework emphasize a multinational International Stabilization Force drawn from countries including Morocco, Kosovo, and Albania, with U.S. personnel limited to coordination and support roles based in Israel. Recent months have featured incremental progress on Hamas disarmament talks and reconstruction contracts, alongside periodic Israeli operations, but no policy reversal or events indicating imminent U.S. troop entry. This official stance and reliance on allied contributions underpin the strong trader consensus against deployment before the end of 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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