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icon for U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

icon for U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

дек. 31

дек. 31

10% вероятность
Polymarket

$86,583 Объем

10% вероятность
Polymarket

$86,583 Объем

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify. High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that American troops will not deploy into Gaza, with the Trump administration and CENTCOM explicitly ruling out ground forces in the enclave as part of ceasefire and stabilization efforts. Instead, roughly 200 U.S. personnel operate from a Civil-Military Coordination Center in Israel to support aid flows and monitor compliance, while an International Stabilization Force draws on troops from other nations such as Indonesia and Egypt. A Senate resolution has also underscored opposition to any U.S. role in taking control of Gaza. These policy positions, combined with the focus on multinational arrangements through late 2025 and into 2026, underpin trader expectations that U.S. forces will remain outside Gaza before 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.

US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.

High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$86,583
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify. High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify. High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that American troops will not deploy into Gaza, with the Trump administration and CENTCOM explicitly ruling out ground forces in the enclave as part of ceasefire and stabilization efforts. Instead, roughly 200 U.S. personnel operate from a Civil-Military Coordination Center in Israel to support aid flows and monitor compliance, while an International Stabilization Force draws on troops from other nations such as Indonesia and Egypt. A Senate resolution has also underscored opposition to any U.S. role in taking control of Gaza. These policy positions, combined with the focus on multinational arrangements through late 2025 and into 2026, underpin trader expectations that U.S. forces will remain outside Gaza before 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.

US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.

High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$86,583
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify. High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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«U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 10% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 10¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 10%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $86.6K с момента запуска рынка Nov 5, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

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Текущая вероятность для «U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?» составляет 10% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 10%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

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