This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.US diplomatic engagement under the current administration has intensified efforts to expand the Abraham Accords, with Kazakhstan formally acceding in November 2025 and Somaliland pledging membership after Israel's December 2025 recognition. Trader attention centers on Saudi Arabia, where repeated statements tie normalization to progress on Palestinian statehood, alongside mentions of Qatar, Syria, and Lebanon amid post-conflict diplomacy. Symbolic accessions by other Muslim-majority states with preexisting Israel ties, such as Azerbaijan or additional Central Asian nations, face fewer hurdles than core Arab League members. Key near-term catalysts include any Iran-related ceasefire framework and bilateral talks that could unlock further signatories before the 2027 deadline, though persistent regional tensions continue to shape timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
US diplomatic engagement under the current administration has intensified efforts to expand the Abraham Accords, with Kazakhstan formally acceding in November 2025 and Somaliland pledging membership after Israel's December 2025 recognition. Trader attention centers on Saudi Arabia, where repeated statements tie normalization to progress on Palestinian statehood, alongside mentions of Qatar, Syria, and Lebanon amid post-conflict diplomacy. Symbolic accessions by other Muslim-majority states with preexisting Israel ties, such as Azerbaijan or additional Central Asian nations, face fewer hurdles than core Arab League members. Key near-term catalysts include any Iran-related ceasefire framework and bilateral talks that could unlock further signatories before the 2027 deadline, though persistent regional tensions continue to shape timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Jun 26 2026
Lebanon and Israel sign landmark framework agreement aiming for normalization and disarmament of Hezbollah
Lebanon jumps to 25%11%
Lebanon and Israel signed a trilateral framework agreement brokered by the US, aiming to end conflict and normalize relations, which raised market hopes for Lebanon joining the Abraham Accords despite internal opposition and Hezbollah's resistance.
Jun 26 2026
U.S., Israel, and Lebanon sign trilateral framework agreement toward peace and normalization
Lebanon surges to 27%18%
The United States brokered a trilateral framework agreement with Israel and Lebanon aiming to end the state of war, disarm Hezbollah, restore Lebanese sovereignty, and pave the way for normalization of relations. This historic agreement marked a significant step toward Lebanon joining the Abraham Accords framework, boosting market confidence for Lebanon's accession.
Jun 26 2026
Israel, Lebanon, and the US sign trilateral framework agreement for peace and normalization
Lebanon surges to 26%17%
After intensive US-mediated talks, Israel and Lebanon signed a trilateral framework agreement with the US aimed at ending conflict, disarming Hezbollah, and paving the way for normalization under the Abraham Accords umbrella. This development raised market hopes for Lebanon's accession.
May 26 2026
Pakistan firmly rejects joining Abraham Accords after US pressure
Pakistan plunges to 7%43%
Pakistan's government publicly rejected the possibility of joining the Abraham Accords, citing fundamental ideological conflicts and linking normalization to a comprehensive resolution of the Palestinian issue. This rejection dampened market expectations for Pakistan's accession.
May 26 2026
Pakistan rejects Trump’s call to join Abraham Accords, citing ideological opposition
Pakistan plunges to 13%37%
Pakistan's Defence Minister Khawaja Asif publicly reaffirmed Pakistan's refusal to normalize relations with Israel or join the Abraham Accords, citing fundamental ideological principles and support for Palestine, causing a sharp drop in Pakistan's market price.
May 25 2026
President Trump publicly calls on Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Pakistan, Egypt, Jordan, and Turkey to join Abraham Accords
President Donald Trump urged six Muslim-majority nations to simultaneously sign the Abraham Accords as part of a broader peace deal linked to Iran ceasefire negotiations. This public pressure was met with silence or rejection, notably Pakistan firmly ruled out joining, and Saudi Arabia insisted on a credible pathway to Palestinian statehood before normalization.
May 25 2026
President Trump demands Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Pakistan, Egypt, Jordan join Abraham Accords as part of Iran peace deal
President Donald Trump publicly called on six Muslim-majority countries to simultaneously sign the Abraham Accords as a mandatory condition for any peace agreement with Iran, raising market attention and causing price volatility across affected countries.
May 25 2026
Trump publicly calls on Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Pakistan, Egypt, Jordan, and Turkey to join Abraham Accords
Former President Donald Trump urged six Muslim-majority countries to sign the Abraham Accords as part of a broader deal tied to Iran ceasefire negotiations. This public call increased market attention but did not result in immediate formal signings, reflecting diplomatic resistance and political obstacles.
Apr 27 2026
Israeli President Herzog visits Azerbaijan, signaling closer ties and potential Abraham Accords expansion
Azerbaijan jumps to 26%6%
Israeli President Isaac Herzog's visit to Azerbaijan and public statements about expanding the Abraham Accords to include Azerbaijan raised market interest, though no formal agreement was signed, contributing to price fluctuations.
Apr 17 2026
Israeli PM Netanyahu signals Lebanon could join Abraham Accords amid ceasefire
Lebanon rises to 18%4%
Following a 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu suggested that Lebanon could potentially join the Abraham Accords, indicating a possible diplomatic opening and increasing market interest in Lebanon's accession.
Jan 7 2026
Israel and Syria establish joint communication mechanism after US-mediated talks
Syria plunges to 16%34%
Israel and Syria agreed to set up a joint communication cell aimed at sharing intelligence and coordinating military de-escalation, signaling a soft normalization arrangement. However, Syria ruled out formal talks to join the Abraham Accords at this time, limiting market optimism.
Jan 6 2026
US State Department announces joint fusion mechanism between Israel and Syria
Syria drops to 32%7%
Israel and Syria established a joint fusion mechanism as a form of soft normalization, signaling progress toward normalization talks under the Abraham Accords framework, though no formal signing occurred, keeping market expectations low.
Dec 26 2025
Israel formally recognizes Somaliland as independent state; Somaliland pledges to join Abraham Accords
Somaliland surges to 72%22%
Israel became the first country to recognize Somaliland's independence, signing a joint declaration with Somaliland's president. Somaliland publicly committed to joining the Abraham Accords, signaling a new member and raising market optimism for Somaliland's accession.
Dec 26 2025
Israel recognizes Somaliland; Somaliland pledges to join Abraham Accords
Somaliland surges to 72%22%
Israel became the first country to recognize Somaliland as an independent state, and Somaliland pledged to join the Abraham Accords. This was a significant development as Somaliland is counted as a country for the market, creating a clear pathway to a new member joining the Accords.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.US diplomatic engagement under the current administration has intensified efforts to expand the Abraham Accords, with Kazakhstan formally acceding in November 2025 and Somaliland pledging membership after Israel's December 2025 recognition. Trader attention centers on Saudi Arabia, where repeated statements tie normalization to progress on Palestinian statehood, alongside mentions of Qatar, Syria, and Lebanon amid post-conflict diplomacy. Symbolic accessions by other Muslim-majority states with preexisting Israel ties, such as Azerbaijan or additional Central Asian nations, face fewer hurdles than core Arab League members. Key near-term catalysts include any Iran-related ceasefire framework and bilateral talks that could unlock further signatories before the 2027 deadline, though persistent regional tensions continue to shape timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
US diplomatic engagement under the current administration has intensified efforts to expand the Abraham Accords, with Kazakhstan formally acceding in November 2025 and Somaliland pledging membership after Israel's December 2025 recognition. Trader attention centers on Saudi Arabia, where repeated statements tie normalization to progress on Palestinian statehood, alongside mentions of Qatar, Syria, and Lebanon amid post-conflict diplomacy. Symbolic accessions by other Muslim-majority states with preexisting Israel ties, such as Azerbaijan or additional Central Asian nations, face fewer hurdles than core Arab League members. Key near-term catalysts include any Iran-related ceasefire framework and bilateral talks that could unlock further signatories before the 2027 deadline, though persistent regional tensions continue to shape timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Jun 26 2026
Lebanon and Israel sign landmark framework agreement aiming for normalization and disarmament of Hezbollah
Lebanon jumps to 25%11%
Lebanon and Israel signed a trilateral framework agreement brokered by the US, aiming to end conflict and normalize relations, which raised market hopes for Lebanon joining the Abraham Accords despite internal opposition and Hezbollah's resistance.
Jun 26 2026
U.S., Israel, and Lebanon sign trilateral framework agreement toward peace and normalization
Lebanon surges to 27%18%
The United States brokered a trilateral framework agreement with Israel and Lebanon aiming to end the state of war, disarm Hezbollah, restore Lebanese sovereignty, and pave the way for normalization of relations. This historic agreement marked a significant step toward Lebanon joining the Abraham Accords framework, boosting market confidence for Lebanon's accession.
Jun 26 2026
Israel, Lebanon, and the US sign trilateral framework agreement for peace and normalization
Lebanon surges to 26%17%
After intensive US-mediated talks, Israel and Lebanon signed a trilateral framework agreement with the US aimed at ending conflict, disarming Hezbollah, and paving the way for normalization under the Abraham Accords umbrella. This development raised market hopes for Lebanon's accession.
May 26 2026
Pakistan firmly rejects joining Abraham Accords after US pressure
Pakistan plunges to 7%43%
Pakistan's government publicly rejected the possibility of joining the Abraham Accords, citing fundamental ideological conflicts and linking normalization to a comprehensive resolution of the Palestinian issue. This rejection dampened market expectations for Pakistan's accession.
May 26 2026
Pakistan rejects Trump’s call to join Abraham Accords, citing ideological opposition
Pakistan plunges to 13%37%
Pakistan's Defence Minister Khawaja Asif publicly reaffirmed Pakistan's refusal to normalize relations with Israel or join the Abraham Accords, citing fundamental ideological principles and support for Palestine, causing a sharp drop in Pakistan's market price.
May 25 2026
President Trump publicly calls on Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Pakistan, Egypt, Jordan, and Turkey to join Abraham Accords
President Donald Trump urged six Muslim-majority nations to simultaneously sign the Abraham Accords as part of a broader peace deal linked to Iran ceasefire negotiations. This public pressure was met with silence or rejection, notably Pakistan firmly ruled out joining, and Saudi Arabia insisted on a credible pathway to Palestinian statehood before normalization.
May 25 2026
President Trump demands Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Pakistan, Egypt, Jordan join Abraham Accords as part of Iran peace deal
President Donald Trump publicly called on six Muslim-majority countries to simultaneously sign the Abraham Accords as a mandatory condition for any peace agreement with Iran, raising market attention and causing price volatility across affected countries.
May 25 2026
Trump publicly calls on Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Pakistan, Egypt, Jordan, and Turkey to join Abraham Accords
Former President Donald Trump urged six Muslim-majority countries to sign the Abraham Accords as part of a broader deal tied to Iran ceasefire negotiations. This public call increased market attention but did not result in immediate formal signings, reflecting diplomatic resistance and political obstacles.
Apr 27 2026
Israeli President Herzog visits Azerbaijan, signaling closer ties and potential Abraham Accords expansion
Azerbaijan jumps to 26%6%
Israeli President Isaac Herzog's visit to Azerbaijan and public statements about expanding the Abraham Accords to include Azerbaijan raised market interest, though no formal agreement was signed, contributing to price fluctuations.
Apr 17 2026
Israeli PM Netanyahu signals Lebanon could join Abraham Accords amid ceasefire
Lebanon rises to 18%4%
Following a 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu suggested that Lebanon could potentially join the Abraham Accords, indicating a possible diplomatic opening and increasing market interest in Lebanon's accession.
Jan 7 2026
Israel and Syria establish joint communication mechanism after US-mediated talks
Syria plunges to 16%34%
Israel and Syria agreed to set up a joint communication cell aimed at sharing intelligence and coordinating military de-escalation, signaling a soft normalization arrangement. However, Syria ruled out formal talks to join the Abraham Accords at this time, limiting market optimism.
Jan 6 2026
US State Department announces joint fusion mechanism between Israel and Syria
Syria drops to 32%7%
Israel and Syria established a joint fusion mechanism as a form of soft normalization, signaling progress toward normalization talks under the Abraham Accords framework, though no formal signing occurred, keeping market expectations low.
Dec 26 2025
Israel formally recognizes Somaliland as independent state; Somaliland pledges to join Abraham Accords
Somaliland surges to 72%22%
Israel became the first country to recognize Somaliland's independence, signing a joint declaration with Somaliland's president. Somaliland publicly committed to joining the Abraham Accords, signaling a new member and raising market optimism for Somaliland's accession.
Dec 26 2025
Israel recognizes Somaliland; Somaliland pledges to join Abraham Accords
Somaliland surges to 72%22%
Israel became the first country to recognize Somaliland as an independent state, and Somaliland pledged to join the Abraham Accords. This was a significant development as Somaliland is counted as a country for the market, creating a clear pathway to a new member joining the Accords.
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Часто задаваемые вопросы
«Какая страна присоединится к соглашениям Авраама до 2027 года?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 12 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Сомалиленд» с 14%, за ним следует «Jordan» с 11%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 14¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 14%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.
На сегодняшний день «Какая страна присоединится к соглашениям Авраама до 2027 года?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $905.6K с момента запуска рынка Nov 5, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.
Чтобы торговать на «Какая страна присоединится к соглашениям Авраама до 2027 года?», просмотри 12 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.
Текущий фаворит для «Какая страна присоединится к соглашениям Авраама до 2027 года?» — «Сомалиленд» с 14%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 14%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Jordan» с 11%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.
Правила разрешения «Какая страна присоединится к соглашениям Авраама до 2027 года?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.
Да. Тебе не нужно торговать, чтобы оставаться в курсе. Эта страница служит трекером в реальном времени для «Какая страна присоединится к соглашениям Авраама до 2027 года?». Вероятности исходов обновляются в реальном времени по мере поступления новых сделок. Ты можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки и читать раздел комментариев, чтобы узнать мнение других трейдеров. Ты также можешь использовать фильтры временного диапазона на графике, чтобы увидеть, как менялись коэффициенты со временем.
Коэффициенты Polymarket устанавливаются реальными трейдерами, вкладывающими реальные деньги в свои убеждения, что обычно приводит к точным прогнозам. С объёмом торгов $905.6K по “Какая страна присоединится к соглашениям Авраама до 2027 года?” эти цены агрегируют коллективные знания и убеждённость тысяч участников — часто превосходя опросы, экспертные прогнозы и традиционные исследования. Рынки прогнозов, такие как Polymarket, имеют сильный послужной список точности, особенно когда события приближаются к дате разрешения. Например, месячный показатель точности Polymarket составляет 94%. Для получения последних статистических данных о точности прогнозов Polymarket посети страницу точности на Polymarket.
Чтобы совершить первую сделку на «Какая страна присоединится к соглашениям Авраама до 2027 года?», зарегистрируй бесплатный аккаунт на Polymarket и пополни его с помощью криптовалюты, кредитной или дебетовой карты или банковского перевода. После пополнения аккаунта вернись на эту страницу, выбери исход, на который хочешь торговать, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты новичок на рынках прогнозов, нажми на ссылку «Как это работает» вверху любой страницы Polymarket для пошагового руководства.
На Polymarket цена каждого исхода представляет подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Цена 14¢ для «Сомалиленд» на рынке «Какая страна присоединится к соглашениям Авраама до 2027 года?» означает, что трейдеры коллективно оценивают вероятность того, что «Сомалиленд» будет правильным результатом, примерно в 14%. Если ты купишь акции «Да» по 14¢ и исход окажется правильным, ты получишь $1,00 за акцию — прибыль 86¢ за акцию. Если нет — эти акции будут стоить $0.
Рынок «Какая страна присоединится к соглашениям Авраама до 2027 года?» запланирован к разрешению примерно Dec 30, 2026. Это означает, что торговля остаётся открытой, а коэффициенты продолжат меняться до этой даты. Точные сроки разрешения зависят от момента появления официального результата, как описано в разделе «Правила».
Рынок «Какая страна присоединится к соглашениям Авраама до 2027 года?» имеет активное сообщество из 40 комментариев, где трейдеры делятся своим анализом, обсуждают исходы и последние события. Прокрути вниз до раздела комментариев, чтобы прочитать, что думают другие участники. Ты также можешь фильтровать по «Топ-держателям» или проверить вкладку «Активность» для ленты сделок в реальном времени.
Polymarket — крупнейший в мире рынок прогнозов, где ты можешь оставаться в курсе событий и зарабатывать на своих знаниях о реальных событиях. Трейдеры покупают и продают акции на исходы по темам от политики и выборов до криптовалют, финансов, спорта, технологий и культуры, включая рынки вроде «Какая страна присоединится к соглашениям Авраама до 2027 года?». Цены отражают вероятности в реальном времени, подкреплённые финансовыми убеждениями, зачастую обеспечивая более быстрые и точные сигналы, чем опросы, эксперты или традиционные исследования.
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Часто задаваемые вопросы