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icon for Израильские войска входят в Тир через...?
Геополитика·Ближний Восток

Израильские войска входят в Тир через...?

icon for Израильские войска входят в Тир через...?
Геополитика·Ближний Восток

Израильские войска входят в Тир через...?

$102,541 Объем

30 сент. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$102,541 Объем

Polymarket

30 сентября

$1,574 Объем

6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon have featured repeated airstrikes and evacuation orders targeting Tyre and surrounding areas since March 2026 amid the Israel-Hezbollah conflict, including a major strike and city-wide warning in early June that extended to the Christian quarter. Ground forces have advanced into parts of the Tyre district and expanded a self-declared security zone beyond the "yellow line" into nearby villages such as Al Mansouri by early September, yet no verified ground entry into Tyre municipality itself has occurred. A series of U.S.-brokered truces and ceasefires have constrained deeper incursions, with Israeli forces prioritizing targeted strikes, infrastructure dismantling, and fire control over urban ground maneuvers. Recent diplomatic pauses and Hezbollah's continued presence in the area have shaped trader assessments of entry probability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Объем
$102,541
Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 10:28 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon have featured repeated airstrikes and evacuation orders targeting Tyre and surrounding areas since March 2026 amid the Israel-Hezbollah conflict, including a major strike and city-wide warning in early June that extended to the Christian quarter. Ground forces have advanced into parts of the Tyre district and expanded a self-declared security zone beyond the "yellow line" into nearby villages such as Al Mansouri by early September, yet no verified ground entry into Tyre municipality itself has occurred. A series of U.S.-brokered truces and ceasefires have constrained deeper incursions, with Israeli forces prioritizing targeted strikes, infrastructure dismantling, and fire control over urban ground maneuvers. Recent diplomatic pauses and Hezbollah's continued presence in the area have shaped trader assessments of entry probability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Объем
$102,541
Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 10:28 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

Связанные

icon for Израильские войска входят в Бейрут к 30 сентября?

Израильские войска входят в Бейрут к 30 сентября?

1%
Да
icon for Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?

11%
icon for Израиль выведет войска из Ливана до 31 декабря 2026 года?

Израиль выведет войска из Ливана до 31 декабря 2026 года?

5%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Израильские войска входят в Тир через...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «30 сентября» с 6%, за ним следует «31 мая» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 6¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 6%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Израильские войска входят в Тир через...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $102.5K с момента запуска рынка May 28, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Израильские войска входят в Тир через...?», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «Израильские войска входят в Тир через...?» — «30 сентября» всего с 6%, а «31 мая» близко позади с 0%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Израильские войска входят в Тир через...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.