Since succeeding his father Ali Khamenei as Iran's Supreme Leader after the latter's death in late February 2026 amid the US-Israel-Iran war, Mojtaba Khamenei has made no verified public appearance, fueling trader uncertainty over his health, authority, or possible IRGC power consolidation. His most recent communication—a defiant written statement on April 30 Persian Gulf Day, read by a state TV anchor, asserting Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz and barring US naval presence—signals continuity without personal visibility. Earlier reports of injury from strikes and unverified AI videos or murals have deepened speculation, while IRGC dominance in state functions raises coup risks. No scheduled public events are announced, leaving odds sensitive to any confirmed sighting or leadership challenge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПубличное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?
Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?
$1,468,681 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
31 мая
11%
$1,468,681 Объем
31 мая
$239,894 Объем
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Since succeeding his father Ali Khamenei as Iran's Supreme Leader after the latter's death in late February 2026 amid the US-Israel-Iran war, Mojtaba Khamenei has made no verified public appearance, fueling trader uncertainty over his health, authority, or possible IRGC power consolidation. His most recent communication—a defiant written statement on April 30 Persian Gulf Day, read by a state TV anchor, asserting Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz and barring US naval presence—signals continuity without personal visibility. Earlier reports of injury from strikes and unverified AI videos or murals have deepened speculation, while IRGC dominance in state functions raises coup risks. No scheduled public events are announced, leaving odds sensitive to any confirmed sighting or leadership challenge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Объем
$1,468,681Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Since succeeding his father Ali Khamenei as Iran's Supreme Leader after the latter's death in late February 2026 amid the US-Israel-Iran war, Mojtaba Khamenei has made no verified public appearance, fueling trader uncertainty over his health, authority, or possible IRGC power consolidation. His most recent communication—a defiant written statement on April 30 Persian Gulf Day, read by a state TV anchor, asserting Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz and barring US naval presence—signals continuity without personal visibility. Earlier reports of injury from strikes and unverified AI videos or murals have deepened speculation, while IRGC dominance in state functions raises coup risks. No scheduled public events are announced, leaving odds sensitive to any confirmed sighting or leadership challenge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Объем
$1,468,681Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Since succeeding his father Ali Khamenei as Iran's Supreme Leader after the latter's death in late February 2026 amid the US-Israel-Iran war, Mojtaba Khamenei has made no verified public appearance, fueling trader uncertainty over his health, authority, or possible IRGC power consolidation. His most recent communication—a defiant written statement on April 30 Persian Gulf Day, read by a state TV anchor, asserting Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz and barring US naval presence—signals continuity without personal visibility. Earlier reports of injury from strikes and unverified AI videos or murals have deepened speculation, while IRGC dominance in state functions raises coup risks. No scheduled public events are announced, leaving odds sensitive to any confirmed sighting or leadership challenge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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