Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.8% due to formidable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act, which mandates a clear referendum question, substantial majority support, and federal negotiations for any secession—none of which separatist petitions have achieved. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith rejected US statehood in January and reiterated commitment to a "sovereign Alberta within a united Canada" after a UCP MLA's March 28 op-ed urging separation signatures, while announcing fall referenda on unrelated issues like immigration restrictions. Recent separatist signature drives face First Nations injunctions heard April 7, and despite Trump administration contacts reported in February, no official US support for annexation has emerged, underscoring the fringe status of joining as the 51st state before any independence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПрисоединится ли Альберта к США?
Присоединится ли Альберта к США?
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.8% due to formidable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act, which mandates a clear referendum question, substantial majority support, and federal negotiations for any secession—none of which separatist petitions have achieved. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith rejected US statehood in January and reiterated commitment to a "sovereign Alberta within a united Canada" after a UCP MLA's March 28 op-ed urging separation signatures, while announcing fall referenda on unrelated issues like immigration restrictions. Recent separatist signature drives face First Nations injunctions heard April 7, and despite Trump administration contacts reported in February, no official US support for annexation has emerged, underscoring the fringe status of joining as the 51st state before any independence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Объем
$3,516Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.8% due to formidable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act, which mandates a clear referendum question, substantial majority support, and federal negotiations for any secession—none of which separatist petitions have achieved. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith rejected US statehood in January and reiterated commitment to a "sovereign Alberta within a united Canada" after a UCP MLA's March 28 op-ed urging separation signatures, while announcing fall referenda on unrelated issues like immigration restrictions. Recent separatist signature drives face First Nations injunctions heard April 7, and despite Trump administration contacts reported in February, no official US support for annexation has emerged, underscoring the fringe status of joining as the 51st state before any independence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Объем
$3,516Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.8% due to formidable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act, which mandates a clear referendum question, substantial majority support, and federal negotiations for any secession—none of which separatist petitions have achieved. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith rejected US statehood in January and reiterated commitment to a "sovereign Alberta within a united Canada" after a UCP MLA's March 28 op-ed urging separation signatures, while announcing fall referenda on unrelated issues like immigration restrictions. Recent separatist signature drives face First Nations injunctions heard April 7, and despite Trump administration contacts reported in February, no official US support for annexation has emerged, underscoring the fringe status of joining as the 51st state before any independence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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