A recent Alberta court ruling on April 10 temporarily halted signature validation for an independence referendum petition amid First Nations challenges citing treaty rights, stalling separatist momentum despite organizers claiming sufficient signatures. Polling shows support for separation flat at around 27%—a five-year high but still opposed by most Albertans, with struggling high earners more favorable—reflecting skepticism over economic and constitutional viability. Premier Danielle Smith has firmly rejected U.S. statehood or secession, prioritizing a fall referendum on immigration limits within a united Canada. Absent federal negotiations, U.S. congressional approval, or bilateral diplomacy, traders price near-certain barriers to Alberta joining as a state.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПрисоединится ли Альберта к США?
Присоединится ли Альберта к США?
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.A recent Alberta court ruling on April 10 temporarily halted signature validation for an independence referendum petition amid First Nations challenges citing treaty rights, stalling separatist momentum despite organizers claiming sufficient signatures. Polling shows support for separation flat at around 27%—a five-year high but still opposed by most Albertans, with struggling high earners more favorable—reflecting skepticism over economic and constitutional viability. Premier Danielle Smith has firmly rejected U.S. statehood or secession, prioritizing a fall referendum on immigration limits within a united Canada. Absent federal negotiations, U.S. congressional approval, or bilateral diplomacy, traders price near-certain barriers to Alberta joining as a state.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Объем
$5,125Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.A recent Alberta court ruling on April 10 temporarily halted signature validation for an independence referendum petition amid First Nations challenges citing treaty rights, stalling separatist momentum despite organizers claiming sufficient signatures. Polling shows support for separation flat at around 27%—a five-year high but still opposed by most Albertans, with struggling high earners more favorable—reflecting skepticism over economic and constitutional viability. Premier Danielle Smith has firmly rejected U.S. statehood or secession, prioritizing a fall referendum on immigration limits within a united Canada. Absent federal negotiations, U.S. congressional approval, or bilateral diplomacy, traders price near-certain barriers to Alberta joining as a state.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Объем
$5,125Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A recent Alberta court ruling on April 10 temporarily halted signature validation for an independence referendum petition amid First Nations challenges citing treaty rights, stalling separatist momentum despite organizers claiming sufficient signatures. Polling shows support for separation flat at around 27%—a five-year high but still opposed by most Albertans, with struggling high earners more favorable—reflecting skepticism over economic and constitutional viability. Premier Danielle Smith has firmly rejected U.S. statehood or secession, prioritizing a fall referendum on immigration limits within a united Canada. Absent federal negotiations, U.S. congressional approval, or bilateral diplomacy, traders price near-certain barriers to Alberta joining as a state.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы