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icon for Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года
Политика·Награды

Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года

icon for Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года
Политика·Награды

Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года

Юлия Навальная 9%

Владимир Зеленский 5.9%

UNRWA 4.0%

Папа Лев XIV 3.1%

Polymarket

$23,346,409 Объем

Юлия Навальная 9%

Владимир Зеленский 5.9%

UNRWA 4.0%

Папа Лев XIV 3.1%

Polymarket

$23,346,409 Объем

icon for Юлия Навальная

Юлия Навальная

$289,342 Объем

9%

icon for Владимир Зеленский

Владимир Зеленский

$789,765 Объем

6%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$2,043,078 Объем

4%

icon for Папа Лев XIV

Папа Лев XIV

$809,955 Объем

3%

icon for Дональд Трамп

Дональд Трамп

$4,330,073 Объем

3%

icon for Тамим бин Хамад аль-Тани

Тамим бин Хамад аль-Тани

$782,546 Объем

2%

icon for Международный суд ООН

Международный суд ООН

$898,119 Объем

2%

icon for Джулиан Ассанж

Джулиан Ассанж

$849,322 Объем

1%

icon for Нарендра Моди

Нарендра Моди

$685,776 Объем

1%

icon for Ахмед аль-Шараа

Ахмед аль-Шараа

$1,261,796 Объем

1%

icon for Грета Тунберг

Грета Тунберг

$1,451,245 Объем

1%

icon for Антониу Гутеррес

Антониу Гутеррес

$626,057 Объем

1%

icon for Си Цзиньпин

Си Цзиньпин

$1,433,872 Объем

1%

icon for Чарли Кирк

Чарли Кирк

$1,244,680 Объем

1%

icon for Халед Машаль

Халед Машаль

$866,002 Объем

1%

icon for Реджеп Тайип Эрдоган

Реджеп Тайип Эрдоган

$1,053,524 Объем

<1%

icon for Беньямин Нетаньяху

Беньямин Нетаньяху

$690,277 Объем

<1%

icon for Мохаммед бин Салман

Мохаммед бин Салман

$1,172,451 Объем

<1%

icon for Илон Маск

Илон Маск

$1,167,119 Объем

<1%

icon for Владимир Путин

Владимир Путин

$901,410 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Yulia Navalnaya holds a narrow lead in the fragmented 2026 Nobel Peace Prize market at 8.5% implied probability, just ahead of Volodymyr Zelenskyy, reflecting trader focus on conflict-linked symbolism amid a wide-open field of 287 nominees. With no dominant frontrunner eight weeks from the October announcement, the tight spread across low single-digit odds highlights uncertainty and hedging against shifting committee priorities or late momentum from ongoing crises like Ukraine and humanitarian efforts in Sudan. Public nominations tied to opposition leadership and wartime defense have given modest boosts to individual contenders, while organizations such as UNRWA and the International Court of Justice draw support for broader institutional roles. Traders watch for any surge in precursor buzz or new developments that could consolidate sentiment before the Norwegian Nobel Committee reveals its choice.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Объем
$23,346,409
Дата окончания
10 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Yulia Navalnaya holds a narrow lead in the fragmented 2026 Nobel Peace Prize market at 8.5% implied probability, just ahead of Volodymyr Zelenskyy, reflecting trader focus on conflict-linked symbolism amid a wide-open field of 287 nominees. With no dominant frontrunner eight weeks from the October announcement, the tight spread across low single-digit odds highlights uncertainty and hedging against shifting committee priorities or late momentum from ongoing crises like Ukraine and humanitarian efforts in Sudan. Public nominations tied to opposition leadership and wartime defense have given modest boosts to individual contenders, while organizations such as UNRWA and the International Court of Justice draw support for broader institutional roles. Traders watch for any surge in precursor buzz or new developments that could consolidate sentiment before the Norwegian Nobel Committee reveals its choice.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Объем
$23,346,409
Дата окончания
10 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Связанные

icon for Трамп, Путин и Зеленский будут замечены вместе до 2027 года?

Трамп, Путин и Зеленский будут замечены вместе до 2027 года?

7%
Да
icon for Трамп, Путин и Зеленский встретятся вместе до 2027 года?

Трамп, Путин и Зеленский встретятся вместе до 2027 года?

6%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Джош Аллен звание MVP НФЛ в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Джош Аллен звание MVP НФЛ в 2026 году?

12%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 20 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Юлия Навальная» с 9%, за ним следует «Владимир Зеленский» с 6%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 9¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 9%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $23.3 million с момента запуска рынка Oct 16, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года», просмотри 20 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года» — «Юлия Навальная» всего с 9%, а «Владимир Зеленский» близко позади с 6%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.