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icon for Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года
Политика·Награды

Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года

icon for Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года
Политика·Награды

Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года

Юлия Навальная 10%

Владимир Зеленский 7.0%

UNRWA 4.8%

Папа Лев XIV 3.5%

Polymarket

$23,080,960 Объем

Юлия Навальная 10%

Владимир Зеленский 7.0%

UNRWA 4.8%

Папа Лев XIV 3.5%

Polymarket

$23,080,960 Объем

icon for Юлия Навальная

Юлия Навальная

$282,313 Объем

10%

icon for Владимир Зеленский

Владимир Зеленский

$768,363 Объем

7%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$2,035,738 Объем

5%

icon for Папа Лев XIV

Папа Лев XIV

$803,163 Объем

4%

icon for Дональд Трамп

Дональд Трамп

$4,190,817 Объем

3%

icon for Тамим бин Хамад аль-Тани

Тамим бин Хамад аль-Тани

$774,920 Объем

3%

icon for Международный суд ООН

Международный суд ООН

$891,970 Объем

2%

icon for Джулиан Ассанж

Джулиан Ассанж

$849,014 Объем

2%

icon for Нарендра Моди

Нарендра Моди

$680,669 Объем

1%

icon for Антониу Гутеррес

Антониу Гутеррес

$616,342 Объем

1%

icon for Грета Тунберг

Грета Тунберг

$1,450,302 Объем

1%

icon for Ахмед аль-Шараа

Ахмед аль-Шараа

$1,255,537 Объем

1%

icon for Мохаммед бин Салман

Мохаммед бин Салман

$1,161,578 Объем

1%

icon for Си Цзиньпин

Си Цзиньпин

$1,432,042 Объем

1%

icon for Халед Машаль

Халед Машаль

$864,748 Объем

1%

icon for Реджеп Тайип Эрдоган

Реджеп Тайип Эрдоган

$1,049,596 Объем

1%

icon for Чарли Кирк

Чарли Кирк

$1,242,910 Объем

1%

icon for Илон Маск

Илон Маск

$1,157,547 Объем

<1%

icon for Владимир Путин

Владимир Путин

$894,647 Объем

<1%

icon for Беньямин Нетаньяху

Беньямин Нетаньяху

$678,746 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Yulia Navalnaya holds a narrow edge in this fragmented field as the market-implied favorite at 9.5%, driven by sustained trader focus on her role as a Russian opposition leader following her husband’s death. With 287 nominees announced in April—including Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Pope Leo XIV, organizations like UNRWA, and others—the low probabilities reflect the Nobel Committee’s history of surprising choices and the absence of dominant precursors or guild-style consensus signals this early. Competitive dynamics hinge on evolving global events through October, such as diplomatic breakthroughs or humanitarian impacts, that could shift momentum among closely matched contenders before the October announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Объем
$23,080,960
Дата окончания
10 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Yulia Navalnaya holds a narrow edge in this fragmented field as the market-implied favorite at 9.5%, driven by sustained trader focus on her role as a Russian opposition leader following her husband’s death. With 287 nominees announced in April—including Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Pope Leo XIV, organizations like UNRWA, and others—the low probabilities reflect the Nobel Committee’s history of surprising choices and the absence of dominant precursors or guild-style consensus signals this early. Competitive dynamics hinge on evolving global events through October, such as diplomatic breakthroughs or humanitarian impacts, that could shift momentum among closely matched contenders before the October announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Объем
$23,080,960
Дата окончания
10 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Связанные

icon for Трамп, Путин и Зеленский будут замечены вместе до 2027 года?

Трамп, Путин и Зеленский будут замечены вместе до 2027 года?

8%
Да
icon for Трамп, Путин и Зеленский встретятся вместе до 2027 года?

Трамп, Путин и Зеленский встретятся вместе до 2027 года?

8%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Джош Аллен звание MVP НФЛ в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Джош Аллен звание MVP НФЛ в 2026 году?

13%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 20 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Юлия Навальная» с 10%, за ним следует «Владимир Зеленский» с 7%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 10¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 10%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $23.1 million с момента запуска рынка Oct 16, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года», просмотри 20 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года» — «Юлия Навальная» с 10%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 10%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Владимир Зеленский» с 7%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.