Universal Pictures' late-September decision to campaign Anne Hathaway for supporting actress as Penelope in Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has anchored trader consensus around her 57.5% implied probability. The studio’s move clarified category placement after months of speculation, pairing her with co-star Samantha Morton and leveraging the film’s box-office scale plus Nolan’s track record. Hathaway’s prior supporting win for “Les Misérables” adds historical precedent for a second victory in the category. Penélope Cruz and other early contenders trail at lower odds, reflecting a still-fluid race ahead of guild nominations and critics’ awards that will test momentum through early 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено«Оскар-2027»: лучшая актриса второго плана
«Оскар-2027»: лучшая актриса второго плана
Энн Хэтэуэй 57%
Пенелопа Крус 15%
Мариана ди Джироламо 8.2%
Сандра Хюллер 5.3%
$27,630 Объем
$27,630 Объем
30 июн. 2027 г.
Энн Хэтэуэй
57%
Пенелопа Крус
15%
Мариана ди Джироламо
8%
Сандра Хюллер
5%
Бетти Гилпин
5%
Зендея
5%
Тао Окамото
4%
Маргарет Куэлли
4%
Паркер Поузи
3%
Изабелла Росселлини
3%
Дэниэль Дэдуайлер
3%
Инде Наварретте
2%
Джемма Чан
2%
Энн Хэтэуэй 57%
Пенелопа Крус 15%
Мариана ди Джироламо 8.2%
Сандра Хюллер 5.3%
$27,630 Объем
$27,630 Объем
30 июн. 2027 г.
Энн Хэтэуэй
$23,421 Объем
57%
Пенелопа Крус
$1,330 Объем
15%
Мариана ди Джироламо
$293 Объем
8%
Сандра Хюллер
$444 Объем
5%
Бетти Гилпин
$268 Объем
5%
Зендея
$213 Объем
5%
Тао Окамото
$191 Объем
4%
Маргарет Куэлли
$253 Объем
4%
Паркер Поузи
$292 Объем
3%
Изабелла Росселлини
$70 Объем
3%
Дэниэль Дэдуайлер
$222 Объем
3%
Инде Наварретте
$502 Объем
2%
Джемма Чан
$130 Объем
2%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Universal Pictures' late-September decision to campaign Anne Hathaway for supporting actress as Penelope in Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has anchored trader consensus around her 57.5% implied probability. The studio’s move clarified category placement after months of speculation, pairing her with co-star Samantha Morton and leveraging the film’s box-office scale plus Nolan’s track record. Hathaway’s prior supporting win for “Les Misérables” adds historical precedent for a second victory in the category. Penélope Cruz and other early contenders trail at lower odds, reflecting a still-fluid race ahead of guild nominations and critics’ awards that will test momentum through early 2027.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Объем
$27,630Дата окончания
1 июл. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Universal Pictures' late-September decision to campaign Anne Hathaway for supporting actress as Penelope in Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has anchored trader consensus around her 57.5% implied probability. The studio’s move clarified category placement after months of speculation, pairing her with co-star Samantha Morton and leveraging the film’s box-office scale plus Nolan’s track record. Hathaway’s prior supporting win for “Les Misérables” adds historical precedent for a second victory in the category. Penélope Cruz and other early contenders trail at lower odds, reflecting a still-fluid race ahead of guild nominations and critics’ awards that will test momentum through early 2027.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$27,630Дата окончания
1 июл. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...Universal Pictures' late-September decision to campaign Anne Hathaway for supporting actress as Penelope in Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has anchored trader consensus around her 57.5% implied probability. The studio’s move clarified category placement after months of speculation, pairing her with co-star Samantha Morton and leveraging the film’s box-office scale plus Nolan’s track record. Hathaway’s prior supporting win for “Les Misérables” adds historical precedent for a second victory in the category. Penélope Cruz and other early contenders trail at lower odds, reflecting a still-fluid race ahead of guild nominations and critics’ awards that will test momentum through early 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы