The Odyssey holds the market's clearest edge at 42.5% implied probability thanks to its stacked ensemble—Matt Damon, Anne Hathaway, Zendaya, Lupita Nyong’o and additional Oscar-caliber names—assembled for Christopher Nolan’s high-profile epic, a combination that historically rewards precise large-scale casting. The Black Ball follows at 29.4% on the strength of its director and early awards chatter, while Wild Horse Nine, UNABOMBER and Dune: Part Three occupy the next tier on festival positioning, source material and franchise expectations. With the 2027 ceremony still months away and no SAG-AFTRA or guild signals yet issued, traders are pricing in broad uncertainty across dozens of 2026 releases; momentum will shift quickly once fall premieres, first reviews and precursor nominations arrive.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOscars 2027: Best Casting Winner
The Odyssey 43%
The Black Ball 29.4%
Wild Horse Nine 8.4%
UNABOMBER 8%
$11,458 Объем
$11,458 Объем
The Odyssey
43%
The Black Ball
29%
Wild Horse Nine
8%
UNABOMBER
8%
Cry to Heaven
8%
Being Heumann
6%
Obsession
5%
Dune: Part Three
4%
Fjord
4%
Clarissa
3%
Digger
1%
Michael
1%
Saturn Return
<1%
The Odyssey 43%
The Black Ball 29.4%
Wild Horse Nine 8.4%
UNABOMBER 8%
$11,458 Объем
$11,458 Объем
The Odyssey
43%
The Black Ball
29%
Wild Horse Nine
8%
UNABOMBER
8%
Cry to Heaven
8%
Being Heumann
6%
Obsession
5%
Dune: Part Three
4%
Fjord
4%
Clarissa
3%
Digger
1%
Michael
1%
Saturn Return
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Odyssey holds the market's clearest edge at 42.5% implied probability thanks to its stacked ensemble—Matt Damon, Anne Hathaway, Zendaya, Lupita Nyong’o and additional Oscar-caliber names—assembled for Christopher Nolan’s high-profile epic, a combination that historically rewards precise large-scale casting. The Black Ball follows at 29.4% on the strength of its director and early awards chatter, while Wild Horse Nine, UNABOMBER and Dune: Part Three occupy the next tier on festival positioning, source material and franchise expectations. With the 2027 ceremony still months away and no SAG-AFTRA or guild signals yet issued, traders are pricing in broad uncertainty across dozens of 2026 releases; momentum will shift quickly once fall premieres, first reviews and precursor nominations arrive.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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