Cortis holds a narrow edge in the VMA Best New Artist market at 58% implied probability, driven by its BTS-affiliated K-pop fanbase and nominations across Best New Artist, Best Group, and Best K-Pop, which amplify organized voting ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Sienna Spiro trails closely at 52.5% on the strength of her debut album *Visitor*, over one billion streams, a Hot 100 single, and confirmed performance slot that boosts visibility among general audiences. The remaining nominees, including Malcolm Todd and Bella Kay, sit well below 20% as they lack comparable chart momentum or precursor buzz. With fan voting still open through the show, the outcome hinges on turnout from dedicated stan communities versus broader critical and streaming support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛучший новый артист VMA 2026
Сиенна Спиро 53%
Кортис 38%
Майлс Смит 5.8%
Малькольм Тодд 5%

Сиенна Спиро
53%

Кортис
38%

Майлс Смит
6%

Малькольм Тодд
5%

Магнус Феррелл
5%

Стелла Лефти
5%

Белла Кей
4%
Сиенна Спиро 53%
Кортис 38%
Майлс Смит 5.8%
Малькольм Тодд 5%

Сиенна Спиро
53%

Кортис
38%

Майлс Смит
6%

Малькольм Тодд
5%

Магнус Феррелл
5%

Стелла Лефти
5%

Белла Кей
4%
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Cortis holds a narrow edge in the VMA Best New Artist market at 58% implied probability, driven by its BTS-affiliated K-pop fanbase and nominations across Best New Artist, Best Group, and Best K-Pop, which amplify organized voting ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Sienna Spiro trails closely at 52.5% on the strength of her debut album *Visitor*, over one billion streams, a Hot 100 single, and confirmed performance slot that boosts visibility among general audiences. The remaining nominees, including Malcolm Todd and Bella Kay, sit well below 20% as they lack comparable chart momentum or precursor buzz. With fan voting still open through the show, the outcome hinges on turnout from dedicated stan communities versus broader critical and streaming support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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