With the 2027 Oscars still far off, trader sentiment on Best Actor remains widely dispersed, with no clear frontrunner and the highest implied probabilities attached to John Malkovich, Matt Damon, and Tom Cruise. This reflects the early stage of the awards cycle for 2026 releases, where campaign momentum, guild nominations, and critics’ circle results have yet to crystallize. Historical voting patterns show that early speculation often shifts dramatically once fall festival premieres, precursor awards, and SAG-AFTRA ballots provide concrete signals. Upcoming catalysts such as year-end releases and early reviews will likely determine which performances gain traction among academy voters. The broad field underscores the inherent unpredictability of awards outcomes at this point.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено«Оскар-2027»: лучший актер
«Оскар-2027»: лучший актер
Джон Малкович 30.4%
Мэтт Дэймон 26%
Том Круз 18%
Эндрю Скотт 17%
$118,287 Объем
$118,287 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
Джон Малкович
30%
Мэтт Дэймон
26%
Том Круз
18%
Эндрю Скотт
17%
Роберт Паттинсон
9%
Джереми Стронг
3%
Себастиан Стэн
2%
Райан Гослинг
2%
Тимоти Шаламе
1%
Джаафар Джексон
1%
Сэм Рокуэлл
1%
Педро Паскаль
<1%
Адам Драйвер
<1%
Брэд Питт
<1%
Хавьер Бардем
<1%
Роберт Арамио
<1%
Джон Туртурро
<1%
Джош О'Коннор
<1%
Джон Малкович 30.4%
Мэтт Дэймон 26%
Том Круз 18%
Эндрю Скотт 17%
$118,287 Объем
$118,287 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
Джон Малкович
$9,097 Объем
30%
Мэтт Дэймон
$34,252 Объем
26%
Том Круз
$11,489 Объем
18%
Эндрю Скотт
$12,230 Объем
17%
Роберт Паттинсон
$4,384 Объем
9%
Джереми Стронг
$4,044 Объем
3%
Себастиан Стэн
$2,770 Объем
2%
Райан Гослинг
$4,783 Объем
2%
Тимоти Шаламе
$3,698 Объем
1%
Джаафар Джексон
$4,217 Объем
1%
Сэм Рокуэлл
$4,577 Объем
1%
Педро Паскаль
$3,081 Объем
<1%
Адам Драйвер
$2,378 Объем
<1%
Брэд Питт
$8,117 Объем
<1%
Хавьер Бардем
$2,910 Объем
<1%
Роберт Арамио
$3,125 Объем
<1%
Джон Туртурро
$1,592 Объем
<1%
Джош О'Коннор
$1,542 Объем
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars still far off, trader sentiment on Best Actor remains widely dispersed, with no clear frontrunner and the highest implied probabilities attached to John Malkovich, Matt Damon, and Tom Cruise. This reflects the early stage of the awards cycle for 2026 releases, where campaign momentum, guild nominations, and critics’ circle results have yet to crystallize. Historical voting patterns show that early speculation often shifts dramatically once fall festival premieres, precursor awards, and SAG-AFTRA ballots provide concrete signals. Upcoming catalysts such as year-end releases and early reviews will likely determine which performances gain traction among academy voters. The broad field underscores the inherent unpredictability of awards outcomes at this point.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Объем
$118,287Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars still far off, trader sentiment on Best Actor remains widely dispersed, with no clear frontrunner and the highest implied probabilities attached to John Malkovich, Matt Damon, and Tom Cruise. This reflects the early stage of the awards cycle for 2026 releases, where campaign momentum, guild nominations, and critics’ circle results have yet to crystallize. Historical voting patterns show that early speculation often shifts dramatically once fall festival premieres, precursor awards, and SAG-AFTRA ballots provide concrete signals. Upcoming catalysts such as year-end releases and early reviews will likely determine which performances gain traction among academy voters. The broad field underscores the inherent unpredictability of awards outcomes at this point.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$118,287Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...With the 2027 Oscars still far off, trader sentiment on Best Actor remains widely dispersed, with no clear frontrunner and the highest implied probabilities attached to John Malkovich, Matt Damon, and Tom Cruise. This reflects the early stage of the awards cycle for 2026 releases, where campaign momentum, guild nominations, and critics’ circle results have yet to crystallize. Historical voting patterns show that early speculation often shifts dramatically once fall festival premieres, precursor awards, and SAG-AFTRA ballots provide concrete signals. Upcoming catalysts such as year-end releases and early reviews will likely determine which performances gain traction among academy voters. The broad field underscores the inherent unpredictability of awards outcomes at this point.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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