The market for the 2027 Best Supporting Actor Oscar remains wide open eight months before the eligibility window closes, with traders assigning Paul Giamatti the highest implied probability at 37.5% on the strength of anticipated 2026 projects. Robert Pattinson, Edward Norton, Adam Scott, and Colman Domingo follow in the 13–16% range, reflecting early positioning based on historical voting patterns and guild signals rather than confirmed frontrunner status. The long tail of candidates below 10% highlights how precursor awards, SAG-AFTRA nominations, and critical reception in the coming months will likely drive momentum shifts before the Academy ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Paul Giamatti 38%
Miles Teller 19.1%
Robert Pattinson 16.2%
John Goodman 8%

Paul Giamatti
38%

Miles Teller
19%

Robert Pattinson
16%

John Goodman
8%

Tom Holland
5%

Steve Buscemi
5%

Jesse Plemons
5%

Sam Rockwell
5%

Jeremy Strong
5%

Robert De Niro
5%

Daniel Craig
5%

Himesh Patel
5%

Riz Ahmed
3%

Travis Scott
2%

Charles Melton
2%

Colman Domingo
13%

Channing Tatum
13%

Michael Fassbender
1%

James Ortiz
13%

Adam Scott
14%

Edward Norton
-
Paul Giamatti 38%
Miles Teller 19.1%
Robert Pattinson 16.2%
John Goodman 8%

Paul Giamatti
38%

Miles Teller
19%

Robert Pattinson
16%

John Goodman
8%

Tom Holland
5%

Steve Buscemi
5%

Jesse Plemons
5%

Sam Rockwell
5%

Jeremy Strong
5%

Robert De Niro
5%

Daniel Craig
5%

Himesh Patel
5%

Riz Ahmed
3%

Travis Scott
2%

Charles Melton
2%

Colman Domingo
13%

Channing Tatum
13%

Michael Fassbender
1%

James Ortiz
13%

Adam Scott
14%

Edward Norton
-
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The market for the 2027 Best Supporting Actor Oscar remains wide open eight months before the eligibility window closes, with traders assigning Paul Giamatti the highest implied probability at 37.5% on the strength of anticipated 2026 projects. Robert Pattinson, Edward Norton, Adam Scott, and Colman Domingo follow in the 13–16% range, reflecting early positioning based on historical voting patterns and guild signals rather than confirmed frontrunner status. The long tail of candidates below 10% highlights how precursor awards, SAG-AFTRA nominations, and critical reception in the coming months will likely drive momentum shifts before the Academy ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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