The tight race for the 2027 Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay reflects a crowded field of prestige literary and sci-fi adaptations with no dominant frontrunner yet. The Black Ball leads market-implied odds at 35.5% on the strength of its Cannes Best Director win, Spain’s international submission, and Netflix’s expansive campaign for the queer epic spanning generations. The Invite at 26% and The Odyssey at 21.5% follow closely, buoyed by strong early positioning and Christopher Nolan’s established Academy track record. Project Hail Mary, Wildwood, and Dune: Part Three sit in the low single digits, supported by critical consensus and box-office data, while guild precursors, festival screenings, and late-2026 releases will likely clarify momentum ahead of nominations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
The Black Ball 36%
The Invite 27%
The Odyssey 22%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth 6.4%
$27,957 Объем
$27,957 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
The Black Ball
36%
The Invite
27%
The Odyssey
22%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
6%
All of a Sudden
6%
Wildwood
5%
Project Hail Mary
5%
The Social Reckoning
5%
Dune: Part Three
4%
Ink
4%
Cry to Heaven
1%
Clarissa
1%
Toy Story 5
1%
The Whisper Man
1%
Saturn Return
1%
The Black Ball 36%
The Invite 27%
The Odyssey 22%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth 6.4%
$27,957 Объем
$27,957 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
The Black Ball
$15,657 Объем
36%
The Invite
$5,141 Объем
27%
The Odyssey
$2,380 Объем
22%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$395 Объем
6%
All of a Sudden
$633 Объем
6%
Wildwood
$546 Объем
5%
Project Hail Mary
$480 Объем
5%
The Social Reckoning
$265 Объем
5%
Dune: Part Three
$426 Объем
4%
Ink
$862 Объем
4%
Cry to Heaven
$221 Объем
1%
Clarissa
$182 Объем
1%
Toy Story 5
$343 Объем
1%
The Whisper Man
$207 Объем
1%
Saturn Return
$218 Объем
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight race for the 2027 Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay reflects a crowded field of prestige literary and sci-fi adaptations with no dominant frontrunner yet. The Black Ball leads market-implied odds at 35.5% on the strength of its Cannes Best Director win, Spain’s international submission, and Netflix’s expansive campaign for the queer epic spanning generations. The Invite at 26% and The Odyssey at 21.5% follow closely, buoyed by strong early positioning and Christopher Nolan’s established Academy track record. Project Hail Mary, Wildwood, and Dune: Part Three sit in the low single digits, supported by critical consensus and box-office data, while guild precursors, festival screenings, and late-2026 releases will likely clarify momentum ahead of nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Объем
$27,957Дата окончания
1 июл. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight race for the 2027 Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay reflects a crowded field of prestige literary and sci-fi adaptations with no dominant frontrunner yet. The Black Ball leads market-implied odds at 35.5% on the strength of its Cannes Best Director win, Spain’s international submission, and Netflix’s expansive campaign for the queer epic spanning generations. The Invite at 26% and The Odyssey at 21.5% follow closely, buoyed by strong early positioning and Christopher Nolan’s established Academy track record. Project Hail Mary, Wildwood, and Dune: Part Three sit in the low single digits, supported by critical consensus and box-office data, while guild precursors, festival screenings, and late-2026 releases will likely clarify momentum ahead of nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$27,957Дата окончания
1 июл. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The tight race for the 2027 Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay reflects a crowded field of prestige literary and sci-fi adaptations with no dominant frontrunner yet. The Black Ball leads market-implied odds at 35.5% on the strength of its Cannes Best Director win, Spain’s international submission, and Netflix’s expansive campaign for the queer epic spanning generations. The Invite at 26% and The Odyssey at 21.5% follow closely, buoyed by strong early positioning and Christopher Nolan’s established Academy track record. Project Hail Mary, Wildwood, and Dune: Part Three sit in the low single digits, supported by critical consensus and box-office data, while guild precursors, festival screenings, and late-2026 releases will likely clarify momentum ahead of nominations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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