Apple TV+ holds an overwhelming 87.8% implied probability in trader consensus due to its commanding lead after the Creative Arts Emmys, where it secured a record 20 wins—far ahead of HBO Max’s 16 and Netflix’s 13—powered by breakout comedy *Widow’s Bay*’s eight technical and creative victories. This early momentum, built on strong guild and critics’ support for Apple’s freshman hits like *Widow’s Bay* and *Pluribus*, has shifted sentiment decisively ahead of the September 14 primetime ceremony. HBO Max’s 11.3% odds reflect its deep bench in major categories via *The Pitt* and *Hacks*, yet the platform trails significantly in the current tally. Lower probabilities for Netflix and others underscore their weaker positioning in the remaining high-profile races.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакой стриминговый сервис выиграет больше всего «Эмми»?
Apple TV 87.8%
HBO Max 11.3%
Netflix <1%
Hulu <1%
$108,785 Объем
$108,785 Объем

Apple TV
88%

HBO Max
11%

Netflix
<1%

Hulu
<1%

Disney+
<1%

Prime Video
<1%

Peacock
<1%

Paramount+
<1%
Apple TV 87.8%
HBO Max 11.3%
Netflix <1%
Hulu <1%
$108,785 Объем
$108,785 Объем

Apple TV
88%

HBO Max
11%

Netflix
<1%

Hulu
<1%

Disney+
<1%

Prime Video
<1%

Peacock
<1%

Paramount+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Apple TV+ holds an overwhelming 87.8% implied probability in trader consensus due to its commanding lead after the Creative Arts Emmys, where it secured a record 20 wins—far ahead of HBO Max’s 16 and Netflix’s 13—powered by breakout comedy *Widow’s Bay*’s eight technical and creative victories. This early momentum, built on strong guild and critics’ support for Apple’s freshman hits like *Widow’s Bay* and *Pluribus*, has shifted sentiment decisively ahead of the September 14 primetime ceremony. HBO Max’s 11.3% odds reflect its deep bench in major categories via *The Pitt* and *Hacks*, yet the platform trails significantly in the current tally. Lower probabilities for Netflix and others underscore their weaker positioning in the remaining high-profile races.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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