The Pitt’s commanding 95.6% implied probability stems from its record 25 Emmy nominations for season two, repeat frontrunner status after winning Outstanding Drama Series in 2025, and strong early wins in guild and technical categories. The HBO Max medical drama’s real-time format, critical acclaim for its sophomore run, and Noah Wyle’s lead performance have sustained broad industry momentum ahead of the September 14 ceremony. Other nominees trail far behind, reflecting limited precursor traction and fewer total nods. An upset would require a late voter shift toward prestige or franchise appeal in shows like A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms or Slow Horses, though recent voting patterns strongly favor the established frontrunner with skin-in-the-game consensus behind it.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЭмми 2026: Выдающийся драматический сериал
Эмми 2026: Выдающийся драматический сериал
«Питт» 95.6%
«Парадиз» 1.5%
«Рыцарь Семи Королевств» 1.1%
«Дипломат» <1%
$38,479 Объем
$38,479 Объем
14 сент. 2026 г.
«Питт»
96%
«Парадиз»
1%
«Рыцарь Семи Королевств»
1%
«Дипломат»
1%
«Золотой век»
1%
«Ваши друзья и соседи»
1%
«Медленные лошади»
<1%
«Питт» 95.6%
«Парадиз» 1.5%
«Рыцарь Семи Королевств» 1.1%
«Дипломат» <1%
$38,479 Объем
$38,479 Объем
14 сент. 2026 г.
«Питт»
$30,152 Объем
96%
«Парадиз»
$1,184 Объем
1%
«Рыцарь Семи Королевств»
$1,022 Объем
1%
«Дипломат»
$1,021 Объем
1%
«Золотой век»
$1,126 Объем
1%
«Ваши друзья и соседи»
$1,408 Объем
1%
«Медленные лошади»
$2,566 Объем
<1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Pitt’s commanding 95.6% implied probability stems from its record 25 Emmy nominations for season two, repeat frontrunner status after winning Outstanding Drama Series in 2025, and strong early wins in guild and technical categories. The HBO Max medical drama’s real-time format, critical acclaim for its sophomore run, and Noah Wyle’s lead performance have sustained broad industry momentum ahead of the September 14 ceremony. Other nominees trail far behind, reflecting limited precursor traction and fewer total nods. An upset would require a late voter shift toward prestige or franchise appeal in shows like A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms or Slow Horses, though recent voting patterns strongly favor the established frontrunner with skin-in-the-game consensus behind it.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
Объем
$38,479Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Pitt’s commanding 95.6% implied probability stems from its record 25 Emmy nominations for season two, repeat frontrunner status after winning Outstanding Drama Series in 2025, and strong early wins in guild and technical categories. The HBO Max medical drama’s real-time format, critical acclaim for its sophomore run, and Noah Wyle’s lead performance have sustained broad industry momentum ahead of the September 14 ceremony. Other nominees trail far behind, reflecting limited precursor traction and fewer total nods. An upset would require a late voter shift toward prestige or franchise appeal in shows like A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms or Slow Horses, though recent voting patterns strongly favor the established frontrunner with skin-in-the-game consensus behind it.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$38,479Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Pitt’s commanding 95.6% implied probability stems from its record 25 Emmy nominations for season two, repeat frontrunner status after winning Outstanding Drama Series in 2025, and strong early wins in guild and technical categories. The HBO Max medical drama’s real-time format, critical acclaim for its sophomore run, and Noah Wyle’s lead performance have sustained broad industry momentum ahead of the September 14 ceremony. Other nominees trail far behind, reflecting limited precursor traction and fewer total nods. An upset would require a late voter shift toward prestige or franchise appeal in shows like A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms or Slow Horses, though recent voting patterns strongly favor the established frontrunner with skin-in-the-game consensus behind it.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы