Recent Canadian CPI data show headline inflation at 3.0% year-over-year in July 2026, up from 2.8% in June, driven by gasoline prices rising 25.7% amid Middle East supply disruptions, while core measures (CPI-trim and median) remain near the Bank of Canada’s 2% target. The central bank projects inflation easing toward 2% through the second half of 2026 and into 2027 as energy effects fade and economic slack persists, with the policy rate held at 2.25%. Market-implied odds place the highest probability (33.4%) on a 2.5–2.9% annual average, reflecting trader views that transitory energy pressures and subdued demand will keep the full-year outcome near the upper end of the 1–3% target range despite ongoing geopolitical and growth uncertainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГодовая инфляция в Канаде в 2026 году
2,5–2,9% 33.4%
3,0–3,4% 17.4%
3,5-3,9% 13.1%
2,0–2,4% 12.8%
$38,431 Объем
$38,431 Объем
<1,0%
3%
1,0–1,4%
6%
1,5–1,9%
12%
2,0–2,4%
13%
2,5–2,9%
33%
3,0–3,4%
17%
3,5-3,9%
13%
4,0%+
2%
2,5–2,9% 33.4%
3,0–3,4% 17.4%
3,5-3,9% 13.1%
2,0–2,4% 12.8%
$38,431 Объем
$38,431 Объем
<1,0%
3%
1,0–1,4%
6%
1,5–1,9%
12%
2,0–2,4%
13%
2,5–2,9%
33%
3,0–3,4%
17%
3,5-3,9%
13%
4,0%+
2%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Canadian CPI data show headline inflation at 3.0% year-over-year in July 2026, up from 2.8% in June, driven by gasoline prices rising 25.7% amid Middle East supply disruptions, while core measures (CPI-trim and median) remain near the Bank of Canada’s 2% target. The central bank projects inflation easing toward 2% through the second half of 2026 and into 2027 as energy effects fade and economic slack persists, with the policy rate held at 2.25%. Market-implied odds place the highest probability (33.4%) on a 2.5–2.9% annual average, reflecting trader views that transitory energy pressures and subdued demand will keep the full-year outcome near the upper end of the 1–3% target range despite ongoing geopolitical and growth uncertainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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