Recent softening in July producer prices, which rose just 4.7% YoY against 4.9% consensus and 5.5% prior, has anchored trader expectations for the August reading amid parallel moderation in July CPI at 3.4% YoY. Energy and goods deflation, alongside stable services, point to easing upstream pressures that could sustain the downtrend or stabilize near 4.7–5.0%. With probabilities clustered tightly between 4.7% (40%) and 5.1%+ (37.5%), outcomes hinge on August energy and food components plus any revision signals ahead of the September 10 BLS release. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on these near-term inflation dynamics rather than guarantees.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено4,7% 39%
4,9% 38%
5,0% 37%
4,6% 37%
≤4,2%
7%
4,3%
7%
4,4%
7%
4,5%
7%
4,6%
37%
4,7%
39%
4,8%
36%
4,9%
38%
5,0%
37%
5,1%+
36%
4,7% 39%
4,9% 38%
5,0% 37%
4,6% 37%
≤4,2%
7%
4,3%
7%
4,4%
7%
4,5%
7%
4,6%
37%
4,7%
39%
4,8%
36%
4,9%
38%
5,0%
37%
5,1%+
36%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent softening in July producer prices, which rose just 4.7% YoY against 4.9% consensus and 5.5% prior, has anchored trader expectations for the August reading amid parallel moderation in July CPI at 3.4% YoY. Energy and goods deflation, alongside stable services, point to easing upstream pressures that could sustain the downtrend or stabilize near 4.7–5.0%. With probabilities clustered tightly between 4.7% (40%) and 5.1%+ (37.5%), outcomes hinge on August energy and food components plus any revision signals ahead of the September 10 BLS release. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on these near-term inflation dynamics rather than guarantees.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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