Recent Q2 2026 Eurozone GDP growth of 0.4% quarter-over-quarter, beating modest expectations after Q1 weakness, anchors trader sentiment near the 0.4-1.1% bins for Q3, which together hold nearly 60% market-implied probability. Annual 2026 forecasts cluster around 0.8% from the ECB, OECD, and Vanguard, reflecting resilience amid energy shocks from Middle East tensions offset by June Iran-US agreement relief that lowered oil and gas prices. Persistent inflation risks, softening PMI readings, and German fiscal stimulus create balanced upside and downside scenarios for quarterly momentum. With the two leading outcomes separated by just two percentage points, near-term data on industrial output, consumer confidence, and ECB communications will likely drive any shifts in the closely matched trader consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено0.4-0.7% 32%
0.8-1.1% 31%
2.0%+ 10.4%
<0.0% 7.3%
$21,593 Объем
$21,593 Объем
30 окт. 2026 г.
<0.0%
7%
0.0-0.3%
4%
0.4-0.7%
32%
0.8-1.1%
31%
1.2-1.5%
3%
1.6-1.9%
<1%
2.0%+
10%
0.4-0.7% 32%
0.8-1.1% 31%
2.0%+ 10.4%
<0.0% 7.3%
$21,593 Объем
$21,593 Объем
30 окт. 2026 г.
<0.0%
$457 Объем
7%
0.0-0.3%
$536 Объем
4%
0.4-0.7%
$2,005 Объем
32%
0.8-1.1%
$16,802 Объем
31%
1.2-1.5%
$808 Объем
3%
1.6-1.9%
$527 Объем
<1%
2.0%+
$457 Объем
10%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 Eurozone GDP growth of 0.4% quarter-over-quarter, beating modest expectations after Q1 weakness, anchors trader sentiment near the 0.4-1.1% bins for Q3, which together hold nearly 60% market-implied probability. Annual 2026 forecasts cluster around 0.8% from the ECB, OECD, and Vanguard, reflecting resilience amid energy shocks from Middle East tensions offset by June Iran-US agreement relief that lowered oil and gas prices. Persistent inflation risks, softening PMI readings, and German fiscal stimulus create balanced upside and downside scenarios for quarterly momentum. With the two leading outcomes separated by just two percentage points, near-term data on industrial output, consumer confidence, and ECB communications will likely drive any shifts in the closely matched trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Объем
$21,593Дата окончания
30 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 Eurozone GDP growth of 0.4% quarter-over-quarter, beating modest expectations after Q1 weakness, anchors trader sentiment near the 0.4-1.1% bins for Q3, which together hold nearly 60% market-implied probability. Annual 2026 forecasts cluster around 0.8% from the ECB, OECD, and Vanguard, reflecting resilience amid energy shocks from Middle East tensions offset by June Iran-US agreement relief that lowered oil and gas prices. Persistent inflation risks, softening PMI readings, and German fiscal stimulus create balanced upside and downside scenarios for quarterly momentum. With the two leading outcomes separated by just two percentage points, near-term data on industrial output, consumer confidence, and ECB communications will likely drive any shifts in the closely matched trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$21,593Дата окончания
30 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Q2 2026 Eurozone GDP growth of 0.4% quarter-over-quarter, beating modest expectations after Q1 weakness, anchors trader sentiment near the 0.4-1.1% bins for Q3, which together hold nearly 60% market-implied probability. Annual 2026 forecasts cluster around 0.8% from the ECB, OECD, and Vanguard, reflecting resilience amid energy shocks from Middle East tensions offset by June Iran-US agreement relief that lowered oil and gas prices. Persistent inflation risks, softening PMI readings, and German fiscal stimulus create balanced upside and downside scenarios for quarterly momentum. With the two leading outcomes separated by just two percentage points, near-term data on industrial output, consumer confidence, and ECB communications will likely drive any shifts in the closely matched trader consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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