Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have triggered an energy price shock, prompting downward revisions to Eurozone growth projections and anchoring trader consensus around subdued expansion. Official forecasts from the ECB, European Commission, and OECD now center on 0.8–0.9% real GDP growth for 2026, reflecting weaker domestic demand, elevated input costs, and lingering uncertainty after a flat Q1 print. The stronger-than-expected 0.4% QoQ expansion in Q2 2026 and annual rate reaching 1.0% provide limited offset, as forward-looking indicators signal cooling momentum. These developments sustain the 66.6% implied probability on the 0–1.0% bucket while capping the 1.0–2.0% range at 24.5%, consistent with markets pricing modest positive growth amid persistent headwinds rather than a robust rebound.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено0-1,0% 66.7%
1,0–2,0% 25%
<0% 4.2%
4,0-5,0% <1%
$28,866 Объем
$28,866 Объем
31 янв. 2027 г.
<0%
4%
0-1,0%
67%
1,0–2,0%
25%
2,0-3,0%
<1%
3,0–4,0%
<1%
4,0-5,0%
1%
5,0-6,0%
<1%
6,0-7,0%
1%
7,0%+
<1%
0-1,0% 66.7%
1,0–2,0% 25%
<0% 4.2%
4,0-5,0% <1%
$28,866 Объем
$28,866 Объем
31 янв. 2027 г.
<0%
$1,615 Объем
4%
0-1,0%
$10,789 Объем
67%
1,0–2,0%
$6,957 Объем
25%
2,0-3,0%
$1,121 Объем
<1%
3,0–4,0%
$1,027 Объем
<1%
4,0-5,0%
$2,108 Объем
1%
5,0-6,0%
$1,127 Объем
<1%
6,0-7,0%
$2,544 Объем
1%
7,0%+
$1,579 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have triggered an energy price shock, prompting downward revisions to Eurozone growth projections and anchoring trader consensus around subdued expansion. Official forecasts from the ECB, European Commission, and OECD now center on 0.8–0.9% real GDP growth for 2026, reflecting weaker domestic demand, elevated input costs, and lingering uncertainty after a flat Q1 print. The stronger-than-expected 0.4% QoQ expansion in Q2 2026 and annual rate reaching 1.0% provide limited offset, as forward-looking indicators signal cooling momentum. These developments sustain the 66.6% implied probability on the 0–1.0% bucket while capping the 1.0–2.0% range at 24.5%, consistent with markets pricing modest positive growth amid persistent headwinds rather than a robust rebound.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Объем
$28,866Дата окончания
31 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have triggered an energy price shock, prompting downward revisions to Eurozone growth projections and anchoring trader consensus around subdued expansion. Official forecasts from the ECB, European Commission, and OECD now center on 0.8–0.9% real GDP growth for 2026, reflecting weaker domestic demand, elevated input costs, and lingering uncertainty after a flat Q1 print. The stronger-than-expected 0.4% QoQ expansion in Q2 2026 and annual rate reaching 1.0% provide limited offset, as forward-looking indicators signal cooling momentum. These developments sustain the 66.6% implied probability on the 0–1.0% bucket while capping the 1.0–2.0% range at 24.5%, consistent with markets pricing modest positive growth amid persistent headwinds rather than a robust rebound.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$28,866Дата окончания
31 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have triggered an energy price shock, prompting downward revisions to Eurozone growth projections and anchoring trader consensus around subdued expansion. Official forecasts from the ECB, European Commission, and OECD now center on 0.8–0.9% real GDP growth for 2026, reflecting weaker domestic demand, elevated input costs, and lingering uncertainty after a flat Q1 print. The stronger-than-expected 0.4% QoQ expansion in Q2 2026 and annual rate reaching 1.0% provide limited offset, as forward-looking indicators signal cooling momentum. These developments sustain the 66.6% implied probability on the 0–1.0% bucket while capping the 1.0–2.0% range at 24.5%, consistent with markets pricing modest positive growth amid persistent headwinds rather than a robust rebound.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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