Eurozone GDP growth expectations for 2026 remain anchored near 1% or below, with trader consensus pricing the 0-1.0% band at 66.8% amid persistent headwinds from elevated energy costs tied to the Middle East conflict. Recent ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters data showed a downward revision to 0.6% real GDP growth for the year, reflecting weaker Q2 activity, contracting PMIs, and softening domestic demand. Inflation pressures, with headline readings near 3% and services components accelerating, have kept monetary policy on hold and limited fiscal stimulus impact, while labor markets show resilience but cooling hiring. A tentative US-Iran agreement offers potential relief through lower energy prices, yet uncertainty persists into year-end data releases that could shift the narrow 1.0-2.0% probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено0-1,0% 66.8%
1,0–2,0% 25%
<0% 5.8%
4,0-5,0% <1%
$28,814 Объем
$28,814 Объем
31 янв. 2027 г.
<0%
6%
0-1,0%
67%
1,0–2,0%
25%
2,0-3,0%
<1%
3,0–4,0%
<1%
4,0-5,0%
1%
5,0-6,0%
<1%
6,0-7,0%
1%
7,0%+
<1%
0-1,0% 66.8%
1,0–2,0% 25%
<0% 5.8%
4,0-5,0% <1%
$28,814 Объем
$28,814 Объем
31 янв. 2027 г.
<0%
$1,615 Объем
6%
0-1,0%
$10,738 Объем
67%
1,0–2,0%
$6,957 Объем
25%
2,0-3,0%
$1,121 Объем
<1%
3,0–4,0%
$1,027 Объем
<1%
4,0-5,0%
$2,108 Объем
1%
5,0-6,0%
$1,127 Объем
<1%
6,0-7,0%
$2,544 Объем
1%
7,0%+
$1,579 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone GDP growth expectations for 2026 remain anchored near 1% or below, with trader consensus pricing the 0-1.0% band at 66.8% amid persistent headwinds from elevated energy costs tied to the Middle East conflict. Recent ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters data showed a downward revision to 0.6% real GDP growth for the year, reflecting weaker Q2 activity, contracting PMIs, and softening domestic demand. Inflation pressures, with headline readings near 3% and services components accelerating, have kept monetary policy on hold and limited fiscal stimulus impact, while labor markets show resilience but cooling hiring. A tentative US-Iran agreement offers potential relief through lower energy prices, yet uncertainty persists into year-end data releases that could shift the narrow 1.0-2.0% probability.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Объем
$28,814Дата окончания
31 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone GDP growth expectations for 2026 remain anchored near 1% or below, with trader consensus pricing the 0-1.0% band at 66.8% amid persistent headwinds from elevated energy costs tied to the Middle East conflict. Recent ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters data showed a downward revision to 0.6% real GDP growth for the year, reflecting weaker Q2 activity, contracting PMIs, and softening domestic demand. Inflation pressures, with headline readings near 3% and services components accelerating, have kept monetary policy on hold and limited fiscal stimulus impact, while labor markets show resilience but cooling hiring. A tentative US-Iran agreement offers potential relief through lower energy prices, yet uncertainty persists into year-end data releases that could shift the narrow 1.0-2.0% probability.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$28,814Дата окончания
31 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Eurozone GDP growth expectations for 2026 remain anchored near 1% or below, with trader consensus pricing the 0-1.0% band at 66.8% amid persistent headwinds from elevated energy costs tied to the Middle East conflict. Recent ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters data showed a downward revision to 0.6% real GDP growth for the year, reflecting weaker Q2 activity, contracting PMIs, and softening domestic demand. Inflation pressures, with headline readings near 3% and services components accelerating, have kept monetary policy on hold and limited fiscal stimulus impact, while labor markets show resilience but cooling hiring. A tentative US-Iran agreement offers potential relief through lower energy prices, yet uncertainty persists into year-end data releases that could shift the narrow 1.0-2.0% probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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