Eurozone GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026, beating consensus and lifting year-over-year growth to 1.0%, supported by AI-driven investment and government spending despite elevated energy costs and the Iran conflict. This follows a subdued 0.1% Q1 print and aligns with OECD and IMF projections centering full-year 2026 growth near 0.8-1.1%, reflecting persistent structural drags on domestic demand and external trade. Traders have priced the 0-1.0% outcome at 66.8% as the leading interval, with the 1.0-2.0% band at 24.5%, consistent with the latest data trajectory and subdued monetary policy expectations ahead of upcoming inflation releases and ECB communications.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено0-1,0% 66.9%
1,0–2,0% 25%
<0% 5.8%
4,0-5,0% <1%
$28,764 Объем
$28,764 Объем
<0%
6%
0-1,0%
67%
1,0–2,0%
25%
2,0-3,0%
<1%
3,0–4,0%
<1%
4,0-5,0%
1%
5,0-6,0%
<1%
6,0-7,0%
1%
7,0%+
<1%
0-1,0% 66.9%
1,0–2,0% 25%
<0% 5.8%
4,0-5,0% <1%
$28,764 Объем
$28,764 Объем
<0%
6%
0-1,0%
67%
1,0–2,0%
25%
2,0-3,0%
<1%
3,0–4,0%
<1%
4,0-5,0%
1%
5,0-6,0%
<1%
6,0-7,0%
1%
7,0%+
<1%
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Eurozone GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026, beating consensus and lifting year-over-year growth to 1.0%, supported by AI-driven investment and government spending despite elevated energy costs and the Iran conflict. This follows a subdued 0.1% Q1 print and aligns with OECD and IMF projections centering full-year 2026 growth near 0.8-1.1%, reflecting persistent structural drags on domestic demand and external trade. Traders have priced the 0-1.0% outcome at 66.8% as the leading interval, with the 1.0-2.0% band at 24.5%, consistent with the latest data trajectory and subdued monetary policy expectations ahead of upcoming inflation releases and ECB communications.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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