ECB staff projections released September 10, 2026, place euro area real GDP growth at 0.9% for the full year, a 0.1 percentage point upward revision from June, citing positive data surprises and resilient manufacturing supported by defense and infrastructure spending plus AI-related investment. The Middle East conflict has elevated energy prices, pushing August HICP inflation to 3.2% and prompting the ECB to raise key rates by 25 basis points in September, with the deposit facility now at 2.50%. Unemployment held steady at 6.4% through July, while export demand shows modest improvement despite competitiveness headwinds. These factors anchor trader consensus around the 0-1.0% band, with limited probability assigned to contraction or stronger expansion given persistent energy volatility and tight monetary policy.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЕжегодный рост ВВП еврозоны в 2026 году
Ежегодный рост ВВП еврозоны в 2026 году
0-1,0% 63.5%
1,0–2,0% 34%
<0% 2.8%
6,0-7,0% <1%
$49,720 Объем
$49,720 Объем
30 янв. 2027 г.
<0%
3%
0-1,0%
64%
1,0–2,0%
34%
2,0-3,0%
<1%
3,0–4,0%
<1%
4,0-5,0%
<1%
5,0-6,0%
<1%
6,0-7,0%
<1%
7,0%+
<1%
0-1,0% 63.5%
1,0–2,0% 34%
<0% 2.8%
6,0-7,0% <1%
$49,720 Объем
$49,720 Объем
30 янв. 2027 г.
<0%
$2,744 Объем
3%
0-1,0%
$15,872 Объем
64%
1,0–2,0%
$14,727 Объем
34%
2,0-3,0%
$2,245 Объем
<1%
3,0–4,0%
$2,149 Объем
<1%
4,0-5,0%
$3,275 Объем
<1%
5,0-6,0%
$2,227 Объем
<1%
6,0-7,0%
$3,699 Объем
<1%
7,0%+
$2,781 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.ECB staff projections released September 10, 2026, place euro area real GDP growth at 0.9% for the full year, a 0.1 percentage point upward revision from June, citing positive data surprises and resilient manufacturing supported by defense and infrastructure spending plus AI-related investment. The Middle East conflict has elevated energy prices, pushing August HICP inflation to 3.2% and prompting the ECB to raise key rates by 25 basis points in September, with the deposit facility now at 2.50%. Unemployment held steady at 6.4% through July, while export demand shows modest improvement despite competitiveness headwinds. These factors anchor trader consensus around the 0-1.0% band, with limited probability assigned to contraction or stronger expansion given persistent energy volatility and tight monetary policy.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Объем
$49,720Дата окончания
31 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.ECB staff projections released September 10, 2026, place euro area real GDP growth at 0.9% for the full year, a 0.1 percentage point upward revision from June, citing positive data surprises and resilient manufacturing supported by defense and infrastructure spending plus AI-related investment. The Middle East conflict has elevated energy prices, pushing August HICP inflation to 3.2% and prompting the ECB to raise key rates by 25 basis points in September, with the deposit facility now at 2.50%. Unemployment held steady at 6.4% through July, while export demand shows modest improvement despite competitiveness headwinds. These factors anchor trader consensus around the 0-1.0% band, with limited probability assigned to contraction or stronger expansion given persistent energy volatility and tight monetary policy.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$49,720Дата окончания
31 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...ECB staff projections released September 10, 2026, place euro area real GDP growth at 0.9% for the full year, a 0.1 percentage point upward revision from June, citing positive data surprises and resilient manufacturing supported by defense and infrastructure spending plus AI-related investment. The Middle East conflict has elevated energy prices, pushing August HICP inflation to 3.2% and prompting the ECB to raise key rates by 25 basis points in September, with the deposit facility now at 2.50%. Unemployment held steady at 6.4% through July, while export demand shows modest improvement despite competitiveness headwinds. These factors anchor trader consensus around the 0-1.0% band, with limited probability assigned to contraction or stronger expansion given persistent energy volatility and tight monetary policy.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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