Recent UK CPI data showed the annual rate rising to 3.1% in August 2026 from 2.9% in July, driven primarily by higher energy and motor fuel costs amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, while core CPI held steady at 2.6%. Bank of England projections anticipate a near-term peak near 3.2% in Q4 2026 with upside risks from lagged energy pass-through, consistent with Goldman Sachs forecasts of a 3.9% high in early 2027. Trader-implied odds remain tightly clustered across 3.1–4.0%+ ranges because volatility in producer prices, services inflation, and base effects creates substantial uncertainty around the exact September print, with markets pricing in probabilities rather than point outcomes ahead of the mid-October ONS release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСентябрьская инфляция в Великобритании - годовая
3,1–3,3% 25%
4,0%+ 19%
3,4–3,6% 18%
3,7–3,9% 16%
≤2,7%
13%
2,8–3%
14%
3,1–3,3%
25%
3,4–3,6%
18%
3,7–3,9%
16%
4,0%+
19%
3,1–3,3% 25%
4,0%+ 19%
3,4–3,6% 18%
3,7–3,9% 16%
≤2,7%
13%
2,8–3%
14%
3,1–3,3%
25%
3,4–3,6%
18%
3,7–3,9%
16%
4,0%+
19%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for September 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on October 21, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for September 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on October 21, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent UK CPI data showed the annual rate rising to 3.1% in August 2026 from 2.9% in July, driven primarily by higher energy and motor fuel costs amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, while core CPI held steady at 2.6%. Bank of England projections anticipate a near-term peak near 3.2% in Q4 2026 with upside risks from lagged energy pass-through, consistent with Goldman Sachs forecasts of a 3.9% high in early 2027. Trader-implied odds remain tightly clustered across 3.1–4.0%+ ranges because volatility in producer prices, services inflation, and base effects creates substantial uncertainty around the exact September print, with markets pricing in probabilities rather than point outcomes ahead of the mid-October ONS release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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