Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven sharp increases in energy prices, pushing euro area HICP inflation higher through mid-2026 and prompting upward revisions to 2026 annual forecasts. July 2026 data showed headline inflation at 2.9%, with energy contributing 10.3% year-over-year, while Eurosystem staff projections place the full-year average at 3.0%, revised up 0.4 percentage points from March due to energy and indirect effects. Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors outcomes above 3.1%, consistent with August readings expected near 3.3% and limited evidence of rapid base-effect relief. Key upcoming catalysts include September ECB policy decisions and September flash HICP data, which will clarify whether energy-driven pressures sustain the elevated path through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГодовая инфляция в еврозоне в 2026 году
Годовая инфляция в еврозоне в 2026 году
3,1%+ 66.1%
2,8-3,0% 20.4%
2,5–2,7% 6.3%
1,0–1,2% 5.6%
$109,161 Объем
$109,161 Объем
18 янв. 2027 г.
<1,0%
<1%
1,0–1,2%
6%
1,3–1,5%
1%
1,6–1,8%
3%
1,9–2,1%
1%
2,2–2,4%
1%
2,5–2,7%
6%
2,8-3,0%
20%
3,1%+
66%
3,1%+ 66.1%
2,8-3,0% 20.4%
2,5–2,7% 6.3%
1,0–1,2% 5.6%
$109,161 Объем
$109,161 Объем
18 янв. 2027 г.
<1,0%
$4,935 Объем
<1%
1,0–1,2%
$16,156 Объем
6%
1,3–1,5%
$16,228 Объем
1%
1,6–1,8%
$3,341 Объем
3%
1,9–2,1%
$25,845 Объем
1%
2,2–2,4%
$4,766 Объем
1%
2,5–2,7%
$7,664 Объем
6%
2,8-3,0%
$16,834 Объем
20%
3,1%+
$13,392 Объем
66%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven sharp increases in energy prices, pushing euro area HICP inflation higher through mid-2026 and prompting upward revisions to 2026 annual forecasts. July 2026 data showed headline inflation at 2.9%, with energy contributing 10.3% year-over-year, while Eurosystem staff projections place the full-year average at 3.0%, revised up 0.4 percentage points from March due to energy and indirect effects. Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors outcomes above 3.1%, consistent with August readings expected near 3.3% and limited evidence of rapid base-effect relief. Key upcoming catalysts include September ECB policy decisions and September flash HICP data, which will clarify whether energy-driven pressures sustain the elevated path through year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Объем
$109,161Дата окончания
19 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven sharp increases in energy prices, pushing euro area HICP inflation higher through mid-2026 and prompting upward revisions to 2026 annual forecasts. July 2026 data showed headline inflation at 2.9%, with energy contributing 10.3% year-over-year, while Eurosystem staff projections place the full-year average at 3.0%, revised up 0.4 percentage points from March due to energy and indirect effects. Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors outcomes above 3.1%, consistent with August readings expected near 3.3% and limited evidence of rapid base-effect relief. Key upcoming catalysts include September ECB policy decisions and September flash HICP data, which will clarify whether energy-driven pressures sustain the elevated path through year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Объем
$109,161Дата окончания
19 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven sharp increases in energy prices, pushing euro area HICP inflation higher through mid-2026 and prompting upward revisions to 2026 annual forecasts. July 2026 data showed headline inflation at 2.9%, with energy contributing 10.3% year-over-year, while Eurosystem staff projections place the full-year average at 3.0%, revised up 0.4 percentage points from March due to energy and indirect effects. Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors outcomes above 3.1%, consistent with August readings expected near 3.3% and limited evidence of rapid base-effect relief. Key upcoming catalysts include September ECB policy decisions and September flash HICP data, which will clarify whether energy-driven pressures sustain the elevated path through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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