Recent July 2026 CPI data, showing a soft 0.1% month-over-month rise after June’s -0.4% decline and a 3.4% year-over-year rate, has left trader expectations for August closely balanced between a 0.4% print (43% implied probability) and a 0.1% outcome (35%). Key differentiating factors include potential tariff pass-through into goods prices, volatility in energy and food components, and persistent shelter cost pressures, which nowcast models from the Cleveland Fed currently place near 0.35%. Stable labor market conditions and mixed signals on core services inflation sustain uncertainty ahead of the September 11 release, with markets pricing in the risk that any rebound could keep annual inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено0,4% 47%
≥0,5% 39%
0,3% 34%
0,2% 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
≤-0,3%
6%
-0,2%
12%
-0,1%
6%
0,0%
8%
0,1%
15%
0,2%
19%
0,3%
46%
0,4%
47%
≥0,5%
39%
0,4% 47%
≥0,5% 39%
0,3% 34%
0,2% 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
≤-0,3%
$0 Объем
6%
-0,2%
$0 Объем
12%
-0,1%
$95 Объем
6%
0,0%
$30 Объем
8%
0,1%
$17 Объем
15%
0,2%
$0 Объем
19%
0,3%
$0 Объем
46%
0,4%
$5 Объем
47%
≥0,5%
$0 Объем
39%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 CPI data, showing a soft 0.1% month-over-month rise after June’s -0.4% decline and a 3.4% year-over-year rate, has left trader expectations for August closely balanced between a 0.4% print (43% implied probability) and a 0.1% outcome (35%). Key differentiating factors include potential tariff pass-through into goods prices, volatility in energy and food components, and persistent shelter cost pressures, which nowcast models from the Cleveland Fed currently place near 0.35%. Stable labor market conditions and mixed signals on core services inflation sustain uncertainty ahead of the September 11 release, with markets pricing in the risk that any rebound could keep annual inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Объем
$147Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 CPI data, showing a soft 0.1% month-over-month rise after June’s -0.4% decline and a 3.4% year-over-year rate, has left trader expectations for August closely balanced between a 0.4% print (43% implied probability) and a 0.1% outcome (35%). Key differentiating factors include potential tariff pass-through into goods prices, volatility in energy and food components, and persistent shelter cost pressures, which nowcast models from the Cleveland Fed currently place near 0.35%. Stable labor market conditions and mixed signals on core services inflation sustain uncertainty ahead of the September 11 release, with markets pricing in the risk that any rebound could keep annual inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Объем
$147Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 CPI data, showing a soft 0.1% month-over-month rise after June’s -0.4% decline and a 3.4% year-over-year rate, has left trader expectations for August closely balanced between a 0.4% print (43% implied probability) and a 0.1% outcome (35%). Key differentiating factors include potential tariff pass-through into goods prices, volatility in energy and food components, and persistent shelter cost pressures, which nowcast models from the Cleveland Fed currently place near 0.35%. Stable labor market conditions and mixed signals on core services inflation sustain uncertainty ahead of the September 11 release, with markets pricing in the risk that any rebound could keep annual inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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