**Market-implied odds for Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation show a tight contest between the 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% brackets, reflecting trader focus on the pace of disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal surplus and managed exchange-rate framework.** Recent INDEC data place July year-over-year inflation at 33.8%, with monthly readings near 2.1% after an earlier energy-price shock from Middle East tensions. Central Bank REM surveys and private analyst forecasts converge around a 30% year-end outcome, supported by contained monetary aggregates, reserve accumulation, and positive real rates, though seasonal pressures and inertia in regulated prices create upside risks. The next monthly release and any further BCRA communications on the policy rate path will likely influence positioning ahead of year-end resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено30,0–34,9% 51.6%
25-29,9% 43%
35–39,9% 4.0%
<20% 1.8%
$45,160 Объем
$45,160 Объем
9 янв. 2027 г.
<20%
2%
20-24,9%
1%
25-29,9%
43%
30,0–34,9%
52%
35–39,9%
4%
40-44,9%
1%
45%+
2%
30,0–34,9% 51.6%
25-29,9% 43%
35–39,9% 4.0%
<20% 1.8%
$45,160 Объем
$45,160 Объем
9 янв. 2027 г.
<20%
$4,648 Объем
2%
20-24,9%
$3,226 Объем
1%
25-29,9%
$13,192 Объем
43%
30,0–34,9%
$13,632 Объем
52%
35–39,9%
$3,470 Объем
4%
40-44,9%
$3,553 Объем
1%
45%+
$3,439 Объем
2%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Market-implied odds for Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation show a tight contest between the 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% brackets, reflecting trader focus on the pace of disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal surplus and managed exchange-rate framework.** Recent INDEC data place July year-over-year inflation at 33.8%, with monthly readings near 2.1% after an earlier energy-price shock from Middle East tensions. Central Bank REM surveys and private analyst forecasts converge around a 30% year-end outcome, supported by contained monetary aggregates, reserve accumulation, and positive real rates, though seasonal pressures and inertia in regulated prices create upside risks. The next monthly release and any further BCRA communications on the policy rate path will likely influence positioning ahead of year-end resolution.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Объем
$45,160Дата окончания
10 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Market-implied odds for Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation show a tight contest between the 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% brackets, reflecting trader focus on the pace of disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal surplus and managed exchange-rate framework.** Recent INDEC data place July year-over-year inflation at 33.8%, with monthly readings near 2.1% after an earlier energy-price shock from Middle East tensions. Central Bank REM surveys and private analyst forecasts converge around a 30% year-end outcome, supported by contained monetary aggregates, reserve accumulation, and positive real rates, though seasonal pressures and inertia in regulated prices create upside risks. The next monthly release and any further BCRA communications on the policy rate path will likely influence positioning ahead of year-end resolution.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$45,160Дата окончания
10 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...**Market-implied odds for Argentina’s 2026 annual inflation show a tight contest between the 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% brackets, reflecting trader focus on the pace of disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal surplus and managed exchange-rate framework.** Recent INDEC data place July year-over-year inflation at 33.8%, with monthly readings near 2.1% after an earlier energy-price shock from Middle East tensions. Central Bank REM surveys and private analyst forecasts converge around a 30% year-end outcome, supported by contained monetary aggregates, reserve accumulation, and positive real rates, though seasonal pressures and inertia in regulated prices create upside risks. The next monthly release and any further BCRA communications on the policy rate path will likely influence positioning ahead of year-end resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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