Recent energy price pressures stemming from Middle East developments have lifted UK CPI to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.6% in June, with the Bank of England projecting a peak near 3.2% in 2026 Q4 before easing. The MPC held Bank Rate at 3.75% in July amid concerns over second-round effects, while forward curves price limited further tightening. These dynamics create closely matched trader sentiment, with the 3.5–3.9% annual average range edging the 2.0–2.4% band as participants weigh persistent energy contributions against potential moderation from slack in the economy and fading base effects. Upcoming August CPI data and the September MPC meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЕжегодная инфляция Великобритании 2026
Ежегодная инфляция Великобритании 2026
3,5–3,9% 27.4%
2,0–2,4% 24.6%
2,5–2,9% 11.3%
4,5%+ 8%
$91,184 Объем
$91,184 Объем
19 янв. 2027 г.
<1,0%
<1%
1,0–1,4%
3%
1,5–1,9%
5%
2,0–2,4%
25%
2,5–2,9%
11%
3,0–3,4%
-
3,5–3,9%
27%
4,0–4,4%
2%
4,5%+
8%
3,5–3,9% 27.4%
2,0–2,4% 24.6%
2,5–2,9% 11.3%
4,5%+ 8%
$91,184 Объем
$91,184 Объем
19 янв. 2027 г.
<1,0%
$945 Объем
<1%
1,0–1,4%
$1,437 Объем
3%
1,5–1,9%
$2,642 Объем
5%
2,0–2,4%
$8,637 Объем
25%
2,5–2,9%
$22,536 Объем
11%
3,0–3,4%
$0 Объем
-
3,5–3,9%
$37,547 Объем
27%
4,0–4,4%
$8,462 Объем
2%
4,5%+
$8,978 Объем
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent energy price pressures stemming from Middle East developments have lifted UK CPI to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.6% in June, with the Bank of England projecting a peak near 3.2% in 2026 Q4 before easing. The MPC held Bank Rate at 3.75% in July amid concerns over second-round effects, while forward curves price limited further tightening. These dynamics create closely matched trader sentiment, with the 3.5–3.9% annual average range edging the 2.0–2.4% band as participants weigh persistent energy contributions against potential moderation from slack in the economy and fading base effects. Upcoming August CPI data and the September MPC meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Объем
$91,184Дата окончания
20 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent energy price pressures stemming from Middle East developments have lifted UK CPI to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.6% in June, with the Bank of England projecting a peak near 3.2% in 2026 Q4 before easing. The MPC held Bank Rate at 3.75% in July amid concerns over second-round effects, while forward curves price limited further tightening. These dynamics create closely matched trader sentiment, with the 3.5–3.9% annual average range edging the 2.0–2.4% band as participants weigh persistent energy contributions against potential moderation from slack in the economy and fading base effects. Upcoming August CPI data and the September MPC meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Объем
$91,184Дата окончания
20 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price pressures stemming from Middle East developments have lifted UK CPI to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.6% in June, with the Bank of England projecting a peak near 3.2% in 2026 Q4 before easing. The MPC held Bank Rate at 3.75% in July amid concerns over second-round effects, while forward curves price limited further tightening. These dynamics create closely matched trader sentiment, with the 3.5–3.9% annual average range edging the 2.0–2.4% band as participants weigh persistent energy contributions against potential moderation from slack in the economy and fading base effects. Upcoming August CPI data and the September MPC meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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