Recent August CPI data showing a 3.4% year-over-year headline rate and hotter-than-expected 0.3% core monthly gain, driven by a sharp rebound in gasoline prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader sentiment for the September annual inflation print. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 3.4–3.7%, underscoring uncertainty over energy pass-through to core measures, shelter moderation, and potential tariff effects. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point near 3.43%, while analysts weigh persistent above-target readings against seasonal factors ahead of the mid-October release. This skin-in-the-game consensus highlights balanced risks between sticky inflation and any cooling in volatile components.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено3,5% 24%
3,6% 22%
3,4% 17%
3,7% 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 окт. 2026 г.
≤2,9%
4%
3,0%
5%
3,1%
5%
3,2%
6%
3,3%
9%
3,4%
17%
3,5%
24%
3,6%
22%
3,7%
16%
3,8%
9%
3,9%
5%
≥4,0%
6%
3,5% 24%
3,6% 22%
3,4% 17%
3,7% 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 окт. 2026 г.
≤2,9%
$82 Объем
4%
3,0%
$67 Объем
5%
3,1%
$64 Объем
5%
3,2%
$87 Объем
6%
3,3%
$155 Объем
9%
3,4%
$62 Объем
17%
3,5%
$54 Объем
24%
3,6%
$102 Объем
22%
3,7%
$62 Объем
16%
3,8%
$27 Объем
9%
3,9%
$187 Объем
5%
≥4,0%
$27 Объем
6%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data showing a 3.4% year-over-year headline rate and hotter-than-expected 0.3% core monthly gain, driven by a sharp rebound in gasoline prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader sentiment for the September annual inflation print. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 3.4–3.7%, underscoring uncertainty over energy pass-through to core measures, shelter moderation, and potential tariff effects. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point near 3.43%, while analysts weigh persistent above-target readings against seasonal factors ahead of the mid-October release. This skin-in-the-game consensus highlights balanced risks between sticky inflation and any cooling in volatile components.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
Объем
$978Дата окончания
15 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data showing a 3.4% year-over-year headline rate and hotter-than-expected 0.3% core monthly gain, driven by a sharp rebound in gasoline prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader sentiment for the September annual inflation print. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 3.4–3.7%, underscoring uncertainty over energy pass-through to core measures, shelter moderation, and potential tariff effects. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point near 3.43%, while analysts weigh persistent above-target readings against seasonal factors ahead of the mid-October release. This skin-in-the-game consensus highlights balanced risks between sticky inflation and any cooling in volatile components.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Объем
$978Дата окончания
15 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data showing a 3.4% year-over-year headline rate and hotter-than-expected 0.3% core monthly gain, driven by a sharp rebound in gasoline prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader sentiment for the September annual inflation print. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 3.4–3.7%, underscoring uncertainty over energy pass-through to core measures, shelter moderation, and potential tariff effects. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point near 3.43%, while analysts weigh persistent above-target readings against seasonal factors ahead of the mid-October release. This skin-in-the-game consensus highlights balanced risks between sticky inflation and any cooling in volatile components.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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